❓Inflation’s Slump Will Continue… Until this Happens

Good morning. Investors largely expect inflation to continue lower in the months ahead. While the...

It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Investors largely expect inflation to continue lower in the months ahead. While the most recent headline number was at 4 percent, expectations are for 3.8 percent in the coming month. That's a good sign overall. However, investors expect long-term inflation to move closer to 3 percent. That's the highest read since last March. It's clear that we're not quite done wringing inflation out of the economy. And that moving too quickly to ease off of monetary tightening could lead to inflation moving higher than expected quickly. Overall, the current decline is bullish. But markets may have also priced it in. Given this latest mixed signal, traders and investors alike should continue to expect a sideways move in markets over the coming weeks until a clearer signal emerges. Now here's the rest of the news: Sponsored Content Get SIX Free A.I. Stock Trend Alerts Every Week? YES > Are you tired of the constant struggle to stay ahead of market trends and make profitable trades? We understand the challenges faced by traders like you, and that's why we are thrilled to introduce you to TraderGPS - a user-friendly tool fueled by artificial intelligence (A.I.) that will transform your trading experience. TraderGPS delivers six free A.I. stock trend alerts directly to your smartphone every week, enabling you to make informed decisions with confidence. And the best part? It's completely free! Send me The Free A.I. Scanned Stock Alerts > MARKETS DOW 34,261.42 +0.93% S&P 4,439.26 +0.67% NASDAQ 13,760.70 +0.55% *As of market close • Markets rallied on Tuesday, as traders expect the latest inflation data to show a further drop. • Oil rose 2.6 percent, closing at $74.88 per barrel. • Gold rallied 0.3 percent, last going for $1,937 per ounce. • Cryptocurrencies trended higher, with bitcoin at $30,622 at the stock market close. Today's TOP TIPS Innovation Can Drive Profitability Higher While most investors are focused on big tech names right now, conventional companies also benefit from today's tech trends. Companies that can integrate new technologies can provide better service, and potentially even keep costs down. A company that has the lowest costs in the industry tends to have low profit margins. But it also has a big market share, as consumers are largely price-focused. That can still lead to great returns, especially as new technology improves profit margins. » FULL STORY Insider Activity Report: The Children's Place (PLCE) Jane Elfers, President and CEO at The Children's Place (PLCE), recently bought 43,000 shares. The buy increased her stake by 13 percent, and came to a total cost of $1.01 million. The buy came a week after a director bought 1,500 shares, paying $57,750. Over the past two years, insider activity has been a bit more mixed, with more sales than purchases. Elfers was a big seller of shares two years ago when shares traded 4 times higher. » FULL STORY Unusual Options Activity: WW International (WW) Shares of weight management company WW International (WW) have more than doubled since the start of the year. One trader sees a further rally ahead for the stock in the coming weeks. That's based on the August $10 calls. With 37 days until expiration, 5,398 contracts traded compared a to a prior open interest of 249, for a 22-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the calls paid $0.65 to make the bullish bet. » FULL STORY IN OTHER NEWS • Home Prices Trend Higher Even with interest rates at 15-year highs, home sales are trending higher. Supply remains tight, likely in part due to homeowners who have a low mortgage rate and don't want to pay more to potentially own a less valuable home. Overall, new listings are down 25 percent compared to a year ago. • Small Banks Likely to Consolidate The best path forward for small and regional banks may be consolidation. The United States has thousands of small banks, which in total account for about half of total deposits. By combining forces, smaller banks could compete on a larger scale, without becoming part of an already "too big to fail" megabank. • Retailers Scaling Back on Free Shipping Several merchants are scaling back free shipping offers as delivery costs continue to rise. That may include a higher price level at which free shipping kicks in, or a flat fee, such as the annual price of Amazon (AMZN) Prime membership. On average, the threshold for free shipping is at $64 this year, compared to $52 in 2019. • Modelo Tops Light Beer Sales in U.S. for Second Month Modelo Especial has become the top-selling light beer in the United States for a second straight month, with 8.7 percent of overall beer sales. Bud Light, the prior leading beer brand, has slumped to 7 percent. Overall, Bud Light sales have fallen 28.5 percent, and Modelo has grown by 8.5 percent. • Twitch to Offer Discovery Feed Privately-held streaming company Twitch is rolling out a Discovery Feed, along with several other new features designed to support short-form video content. That will allow the site to compete with other short-form content players such as TikTok. S&P 500 MOVERS TOP NWL 10.855% ATVI 10.254% ETSY 8.866% APA 6.001% HPQ 5.818% BOTTOM VRSN 4.878% LLY 3.284% TAP 2.205% AMAT 2.127% MDLZ 2.115% Quote of the Day We believe that the equity market is towards the higher end of our range of fair value estimates of valuations. So equity markets [are] certainly a little bit stretched… the fixed income market, on the other hand, [has] been inverted for over a year now at this point, so it's been calling for a recession for some time. - Andrew Patterson, senior economist at Vanguard, on why the stock market may start to trade sideways in the coming months, following a big rally so far this year, and with the bond market warning on a recession. Sponsored Content Will Bitcoin Ascend Even More in July? As the Feds paused interest-rate hikes, Bitcoin has been putting up a tough fight to plow through resistance. We called the (BTC) trend reversal last month in advance, and Bitcoin saw gains of over 17% since. The best part? 2023 isn't our first rodeo – we've been forecasting cryptos for years. But it's only helpful if you know – in advance – when to get in and when to get out. And that's how we can help you. Click HERE to learn how for FREE in this Live A.I. Market Training Not sure the best way to get started? 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