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October 9th, 2022 | Issue 151 |
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Another up-and-down week is in the books. We kicked off the first full trading week of October with impressive gains on Monday, only to see shares turn lower by the week's end as sentiment regarding future Fed action shifted. Along with the handful of Fed officials who spoke this week, offering a glimpse into future Federal Open Market Committee action, key employment data was released on Thursday and Friday, which also heavily influenced markets. As I reviewed the labor data, I was reminded of a recent project I had taken on which not only showed the robust and plentiful nature of our economy but also the inventive ways in which we adjust. Down in Florida, I own an apartment near the southeastern shoreline. The location is great and when I'm not there with my family, I like to rent it out to cover a few expenses. Luckily, our location was not impacted by the hurricane and after its passing, I had a tenant lined up to move in. The previous tenant had requested an unfurnished apartment which meant the entire contents of the apartment had to be relocated. To accommodate, I rented a truck and storage unit and made my way down to Miami. With the help of two movers, I was able to take every piece of furniture, home decor, and the like out of the unit. I returned to Chicago and after some time, the tenet had moved out. Then, this week, I had a new tenant ready to move. The only issue? They had requested a fully furnished apartment! So what could I do other than take a flight right back, rent another truck, hire a few movers and undo the un-furnishing we had just recently done? And that's exactly what I did. Five hours and a 26-foot truck later, we had finished the job. From the storage unit to the truck to the apartment - disassembling and assembling - myself and the two movers with me were covered in sweat. As we made the move, I felt a certain pride and joy in the physical labor we were doing. It took me back to high school and college, where I worked for a furniture moving company doing just that. However, approaching 50, moving furniture now was certainly a different level of labor. And as we wrapped up, I also felt a great deal of respect for the movers. Physical labor is no easy task. And unlike most jobs, the more experience you have and the older you get does not necessarily make it easier. When I returned to Chicago with my priceless sense of accomplishment and returned to my world of finance, it did not take long for me to be reminded of the integral part laborers play in our economy. As I reviewed the employment reports, I thought of the movers I had hired to help me. I thought of the employees of the storage unit and the truck rental company. Each of these businesses supplied the exact demand I needed - all with relative ease. Storage units for personal use like mine have only been around for a few decades. Thinking of the process in which demand just like mine (furnished to unfurnished to furnished) created the need for these locations to pop up throughout the U.S. and even more so for them to reach the efficiency in which they operate created a feeling of pride in our economy. Something we often forget while wrapped up in the current day issues of inflation and Fed rate hikes. Taking time to appreciate the good is always prudent. Each step of the way, our economy was able to provide me exactly what I needed and therefore, I was able to provide my tenants exactly what they needed. What a wonderful system! In the spirit of efficient teamwork, I would be remiss to not mention YellowTunnel's weekly Strategy Roundtable webinars. Every week, I, along with the YellowTunnel community, go over the latest market-impacting news and discuss a variety of strategies ranging from financial to psychological in an effort to ease trading and improve portfolio performance. Trying to keep up with the market by yourself can be overwhelming. That is why I encourage you to join a trading community where you may interact and analyze with others. I recommend checking out our latest Roundtable webinar in its entirety below: |
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How To Trade a Bear Market Strategy Roundtable With the unpredictable nature of the market and the uncertainty ahead of us, I can't emphasize enough how vital it is for our readers and members of the Yellow Tunnel community to keep referring to our Live Trading Room so as to maintain a close tie of how our I and my AI platform is navigating us in and out of select trades. It's FREE and I highly encourage everyone to sign up to the Live Trading Room and keep checking in throughout the trading day. Every Monday and Wednesday, I highlight our best strategies and potential trading setups via the DISCORD server. It's the future of bringing together a trading community's total services, educational products, live chat venues, support, news, how-to tutorials, webinars, live-trading demonstrations, and tons of market analysis. It is incredibly interactive and full of crucial and timely information. Just go to: |
https://discord.gg/YjBfkaqGGu I also want to emphasize to traders how vital a stop-loss discipline is to winning and being successful in an unforgiving market. We employ specific stop-loss instructions with every trade. The buy and sell programs controlled by high-frequency related algorithms can create great profits or cause sudden losses, so it is imperative to maintain an element of controlling risk with each trade. |
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| Vlad Karpel
YellowTunnel and Tradespoon Founder |
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P.S. Click here for access to the Power Trading Live Strategy Roundtable Recorded every Thursday. P.P.S. Join our Discord Community to participate in our Free Live Market Volatility Trading Room Session every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM) is a leader in the oil field and, as of lately, has been showing some great signals for the upcoming quarter. |
XOM is the largest direct descendant of the Standard Oil empire and, just like the rest of the energy sector, saw a fairly volatile 2022. Since January, when the stock was trading as low as $63, it has risen steadily with several pullbacks after establishing new 52-week highs. Looking at the latest trends, I believe we might have a similar opportunity on our hands. As of Friday, XOM traded right above $102 and just below the 52-week high of $105. Considering the latest from OPEC and the continued pressure from inflation, I believe this symbol has a shot to top its annual high and my A.I. arsenal is in agreement... |
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Earnings Season is here and JP Morgan (JPM) will announce its earnings this Thursday |
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The last time we traded JPM during Earnings Season we had a 62% return on risk. Let me repeat that, we had a 62% return! That's a pretty good return after holding the position for only 1 day! |
Be prepared: JP Morgan (MSFT) is scheduled to announce its earnings on October 13th. This is my favorite time of year! |
(A portion of Yellow Tunnel sales will go to directly help the Ukrainian people) |
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CURRENT TRADING LANDSCAPE |
This week, employment data was in focus as a handful of September labor reports were released. Fed comments and the latest from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries also supplied market sentiment, which ultimately had shares trading lower. The week concluded with all three major U.S. indices selling off as we gear up for next week's earnings season kickoff. On Thursday, figures revealed that last week's application for unemployment benefits rose by 29,000 to a five-week high of 219,000 — considerably more than forecasts. This was then followed up by Friday's ADP September reports. In September, the United States added only 263,000 jobs: the smallest uptick in nearly two years. The small rise in new employment was most likely the consequence of labor shortages and reduced demand for workers as talk of a recession spread. However, employment remains too robust for the Federal Reserve to scale back hikes, which is why it will likely continue raising rates. The unemployment rate is now back to its pre-pandemic average of 3.5%, having dropped from 3.7%. Also released was hourly wages: in September, employers paid their employees an average of $32.46 per hour, up 10 cents from the previous month's $32.30- slowing pay rate increases from 5.2% to 5%. With this in mind, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue to raise rates until inflation begins to drop and employment balances itself out... |
The market has started the bottoming process and has become oversold, presenting a great opportunity for a multi-day rally. In terms of investing, I'll be interested in a particular sector, as determined by my most recent market news and previous trends. As oil prices have rapidly fluctuated throughout the summer, I have been paying close attention to the commodity and I believe there is currently an opportunity for those interested in investing. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) is my go-to for the energy sector. The fund, with assets of close to $40 billion, provides exposure to the oil, gas, fuel, and energy equipment and services industries. The fund is the flagship energy ETF within the S&P, and I trust it to represent the sector appropriately. Following OPEC's announcement, prices are set to go up. Inflation fears remain prominent and I believe there is more room for the upside than the downside when it comes to energy. Trading below its 52-week high of $93.31, the current price of XLE at $82.94 offers a great opportunity, one I would like to invest in so long as my A.I. data... |
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Market Volatility LIVE Trading Room Sessions Join Our Discord Community Every Monday and Wednesday at 8:15 am CST. Click Here To Join |
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NOTE: We encourage all subscribers to view the instructional videos on how to best use your membership and invite our members to participate in live weekly strategy roundtable workshops that are also archived for your convenience so that they can to be viewed at a later time. |
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To effectively trade in today's rapidly moving equity markets, active day traders and swing traders must stay ahead of market changes due to inflation, global uncertainty, politics, as well as innovations and technological changes used by hedge fund traders and proprietary trading firms. With traders like you in mind, we designed this intensive roundtable where you will deepen your understanding of all aspects of stock and options trading in today's changing market. |
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DISCLAIMER: Vlad and his team may have a financial interest in the picks as they trade many of the same equities and options they pick. Vlad Karpel and YellowTunnel (Company) is not an investment advisory service, nor a registered investment advisor or broker-dealer and does not purport to tell or suggest which securities or currencies customers should buy or sell for themselves. All investing strategies are made available to the general public on a regular basis. We do not provide personalized financial advice or investment recommendations. As an investor, you know that any kind of investment opportunity has its risks. There is no such thing as low-risk stocks and we recommend you invest wisely and that only risk capital should be used to trade. Investing in Stocks and Options is highly speculative. No representation is being made that the use of this strategy or any system or trading methodology will generate profits. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those discussed here and on our website. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE SUCCESS: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators developed at YellowTunnel will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. Nor should it be assumed that future picks will be profitable or will equal past performance. All of the content on our website and in our email alerts is for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell securities. Remember, you should always consult with a licensed securities professional before purchasing or selling securities of companies profiled or discussed on YellowTunnel.com. Performance results that are discussed above are from the Live Trading Room, multiple YellowTunnel tools were used to achieve these results. Trade % Gain/Loss is calculated by dividing the $ Gain/Loss by the Max Risk which is the posted Stop Loss for the trade. Yellow Tunnel's performance data represents the average return on all trading recommendations from January 1, 2020, to today. *Win rate percentage reflects the average that Yellow Tunnel's software helped me identify a profitable investment strategy.** Triple-digit returns are not typical and are not intended to reflect the likelihood of similar returns in the future. |
This email was sent to edwardlorilla1986.paxforex@blogger.com by info@yellowtunnel.com. Questions or inquiries regarding the website and/or service may be submitted via email to info@yellowtunnel.com. You may also complete our inquiry form located here. YellowTunnel LLC, 318 Half Day Rd., Suite #215, Buffalo Grove, Illinois 60089. Website: https://www.yellowtunnel.com Copyright © 2022 Yellow Tunnel LLC. All rights reserved. If you want to unsubscribe from all or some of our emails please click this link. |
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