Friday, October 15, 2021

✋Did We Just Hit Peak Inflation?🤚

Good morning. Wednesday's inflation numbers came in at a 15 year high...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Wednesday's inflation numbers came in at a 15 year high. But beyond the headlines, core inflation numbers have started to show a slowdown, with a rise of 0.2 percent from August. It's not a reversal, but a still-hidden sign that inflation may be moderating. The bond market picked up on the news, with yields ticking down slightly.

If that's the case, then many of the fears impacting the market right now may go away. That could explain part of Thursday's rally, on top of the debt ceiling delay to December. While we're not out of the woods yet on the labor market, declining inflation expectations can also delay any change in monetary policy that could truly lead to a big round of fear in the market. If anything, it's just one more sign that the recent volatility has been seasonal, and that markets are setting up nicely for a year-end rally.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 34,912.56 +1.56%
S&P 4,438.26 +1.71%
NASDAQ 14,823.43 +1.73%
*As of market close
Stocks rallied strongly on Thursday, with all three indices closing near highs of the day.
Oil rose 1.2 percent, closing at $81.38 per barrel.
Gold advanced 0.2 percent, last going for $1,798 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies moved higher, with Bitcoin at $57,768 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Stronger Travel Trends Point to Profitability For this Industry Leader
After being pent up at home for months on end, consumers are looking to get out and travel more. That's a trend showing signs of growth, a welcome indicator as the economy contends with persistent inflation and supply chain issues for physical goods.

With that trend moving higher, a number of companies are likely to benefit. Probably not airlines, given higher energy prices. But investors who look elsewhere can be rewarded.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Life Time Group Holdings (LTH)
Partners Group Private Equity, a major holder at Life Time Group Holdings (LTH), recently added 277,777 more shares. The buy increased the fund's holdings by over 4 percent, and came to a total cost of just under $5 million.

This marks the first insider transaction since the company went public earlier in the month. Overall, company insiders own nearly 15 percent of shares.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
Shares of megabank Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) have nearly doubled in the past year. However, over the past 5 years, shares are largely down thanks to a number of scandals. One trader expects a further decline in shares in the next few years.

That's based on the January 2024 $40 put. With 826 days until expiration, over 10,760 contracts traded against a prior open interest of 442, for a 24-fold jump in volume. The buyer of the put paid $5.60 to make the trade.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Jobless Claims Hit New Pandemic Low

Jobless claims hit 293,000 last week. That came in well under expectations for 318,000 claims, and marks the first time the number came in under 300,000 since the start of the pandemic. Continuing claims dropped 134,000 to 2.59 million as well.
Worker Strikes Rise on Low Pay and Benefits

A number of companies have seen workers go on strikes in recent weeks, citing not just higher pay, but better healthcare, vacation time, and retirement benefits as well. The strikes occur as a number of sectors see a significant shortage of workers.
Winter Heating Costs Likely to Rise 30-50 Percent This Year

The Energy Information Administration estimates that nearly half of American homes are heated with natural gas during the winter. Given the rise in gas prices, a jump in heating costs of 30 percent seems likely, with a potential for a rise over 50 percent if winter is colder than expected this year.
Bank Earnings Come in Strong

With many megabanks reporting this week, stocks have been relieved at the results so far. Nearly all firms have reported solid demand for lending business, improving credit quality, and even a rise in business thanks to ongoing IPO and merger activity this year, more than offsetting rising inflation fears.
Cannabis Investment Soars 165 Percent Over 2020

While pot stocks soared at the start of the year and have now been a significant underperformer, investments continue to move to the space. Year-to-date, over 205 funding rounds have been reported for private cannabis companies, with the average investment size up 165 percent to $19.9 million per round.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
WBA 7.29%
APA  6.644%
AMG 4.607%
ASML 4.505%
CARR 4.494%
BOTTOM
USB 2.213%
BA 2.056%
WFC 1.933%
DISCK 1.483%
HWM 1.42%

Quote of the Day
The print reflected that while transitory factors continue to roll-off, stickier more persistent factors are becoming more prevalent, which the Fed is more likely to respond to.
- A Bank of America analysis on the latest CPI numbers showing inflation is running its hottest in 20 years, and why that may cause the Fed to start tapering its asset purchases rather than simply talk about it.

Sponsored Content
Could This Be a View From The Near Future... ?
The richest men on the planet are betting big on the tech you see in the video above:

Jeff Bezos poured $1.2 billion into this technology revolution…

Bill Gates and Microsoft just invested $2 billion...

And Elon Musk put a whopping $110 billion into this trend!

One investment analyst calls the company behind this technology "The Next Tesla"...

Watch a demo, and get the name of this company at no charge, when you click here »


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