Thursday, October 14, 2021

🎯 Axios AM: Global energy crisis

Plus: Lego reveal | Thursday, October 14, 2021
 
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Axios AM
By Mike Allen ·Oct 14, 2021

Happy Thursday. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,139 words ... 4½ minutes. Edited by Zachary Basu.

🎒 Today at 12:30 p.m., please join Axios' Russell Contreras for a virtual event on how schools are equipping students for modern prosperity. Sign up here.

 
 
1 big thing: Global energy crisis

Illustration: Annelise Capossela/Axios

 

An energy crisis around the world is hitting households and manufacturers that were already struggling to recover from the pandemic, Axios' Felix Salmon and Andrew Freedman write.

  • Why it matters: This is a collision of supply shortages, especially from China ... inflation ... slowing growth ... labor shortages ... Russia's continued geopolitical muscle-flexing ... and fear.
  • "Pressures on the energy system are not going to relent in the coming decades," the International Energy Agency wrote in a World Energy Outlook released yesterday.

The big picture: Around the world, authorities are scrambling to fill a power supply gap, triggering market wobbles on worries that rising energy costs will stoke inflation and curtail recovery, Reuters reports.

  • Power prices have surged to records, driven by shortages in Asia and Europe. China's energy crisis is expected to last the rest of the year.
  • U.S. oil closed above $80 a barrel this week for the first time since 2014. (The Wall Street Journal)

What's happening: A combination of weather-related issues (many of which are related to climate change), unexpected demand and planned outages has sent natural gas and coal prices through the roof.

  • China's energy shortage has caused high-tech manufacturing centers to close their doors.
  • India is in even worse shape, with much less ability to bring new power sources online.
  • In the U.K., the surge in natural gas prices saw many companies go bust, while the EU has been reminded of how uncomfortably reliant it is on Vladimir Putin's Russia for its energy needs.

The big picture: Inflation is bad. Energy-price inflation is terrible.

  • This is stirring memories of 1970s-style stagflation, where rising prices are combined with anemic growth.
  • The global energy transition to renewables is well under way, but hasn't come soon enough.

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2. 😨 Inflation's long list

A cargo ship passes under the Bayonne Bridge in New Jersey yesterday. Photo: Spencer Platt/Getty Images

 

Inflation is hitting levels not seen in 13 years — annual pace: up 5.4% — as tangled supply lines continue creating global havoc, AP reports.

  • U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in September from August.
  • The annual increase in the consumer price index matched readings in June and July as the highest since 2008.

⬆️ Prices were higher for houses, rent, food, gas, electricity, furniture, new cars, TVs and restaurant meals.

  • Children's shoes are up 11.9% — a record-high gain in data that stretches back to the 1950s. Most shoes are imported, and are likely caught in supply bottlenecks.

⬇️ The cost of hotel rooms, car rentals, and airline tickets fell, as the Delta spike limited travel plans.

  • Clothing prices also dropped.

Between the lines: Higher prices are outstripping pay gains workers can command from many businesses.

  • Average hourly wages rose 4.6% in September from a year earlier — a healthy increase, but not enough to keep up with inflation.
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3. Our weekly map: Don't look now
Data: N.Y. Times. Cartogram: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

For the first time since early August, the U.S. is averaging fewer than 100,000 new COVID-19 cases per day, Axios' Sam Baker writes.

  • Why it matters: The U.S. has blown moments like this before. But the prospect of controlling the virus — and being able to safely put pandemic life behind us — is once again within reach.

The virus' strongest remaining foothold is in the West and upper Midwest: Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, Idaho, Utah, Minnesota and Wisconsin are all among the 10 states with the most cases per capita.

  • Hawaii and Connecticut have the lowest caseloads, each with an average of just 12 cases per 100,000 people.

The bottom line: If the U.S. finally contains the virus, new mask mandates would be less necessary.

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A message from Bank of America

Providing access to education
 
 

The coronavirus and its impact on society shed light on many long-standing economic and racial inequalities, including in America's schools.

Watch to learn more about how philanthropic grants from Bank of America are helping nonprofits across the country work to increase access to education.

 
 
4. Pics of the day: Oldest rocketman
Photo: Blue Origin via Reuters

Above, "Star Trek" actor William Shatner, 90, enjoys weightlessness during Blue Origin's fully automated, suborbital flight from Van Horn, Texas, yesterday.

  • "I hope I never recover from this," Shatner said following his touchdown from the 10-minute flight with three other civilians.
Photo: Blue Origin via AP

Here, Shatner talks with Blue Origin founder Jeff Bezos after parachuting back.

  • The headline in The Guardian: "To oldly go."
Photo: LM Otero/AP

Watch a 35-second video of the "splashdown" in the West Texas desert, with Bezos opening the capsule.

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5. Biden's Moderna threat
Hand using vaccine as a weapon

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

 

A top Biden official publicly threatened Moderna with more aggressive government action if it doesn't voluntarily provide enough vaccines to the global initiative COVAX at not-for-profit prices, Axios' Caitlin Owens reports.

  • Why it matters: While low-income countries are desperate for more doses, Moderna has been supplying almost exclusively to wealthy nations.

"Do not underestimate the resolve of the United States government in addressing these issues," David Kessler, chief science officer of the administration's COVID-19 response, said at an intense panel event.

  • "I think these companies understand our authorities and understand we would not be afraid to use them," he added.

Moderna CEO Stéphane Bancel recently wrote: "We are committed to doubling our manufacturing and expanding supply even further until our vaccine is no longer needed in low-income countries."

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6. Stat du jour

Illustration: Aïda Amer/Axios

 

87% of U.S. teenagers have iPhones, a survey of 10,000 young people by investment bank Piper Sandler concluded.

  • Why it matters: The economy is mobile, as the next generation of consumers shops for clothes, watches TV and meets romantic partners almost exclusively on their phones, Axios' Erica Pandey writes.

Other findings from the survey, which covered 44 states:

  • Teens care about sustainability: 51% of respondents had purchased secondhand items. 62% had sold things they own.
  • 14% of teens consume plant-based meat, with the fake meat giants Impossible Foods and Beyond Meat taking the bulk of the market share.
  • 35% say Snapchat is their favorite app, 30% say TikTok, and 22% say Instagram.

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7. 🏈 Washington Football Team fights female alumni

"Lawyers representing the Washington Football Team offered a financial settlement this year in exchange for the silence of female former team employees who allege they endured sexual harassment while working there," The Washington Post reports.

  • Emily Applegate, a former marketing coordinator who spoke out about her experience last year, called the offer "disrespectfully low."

Context: The rants that doomed former Las Vegas Raiders coach Jon Gruden surfaced in 650,000+ emails reviewed by the NFL during an investigation into working conditions at the Washington team.

Nearly 40 former team employees were told that in exchange for the money, "they would have to sign nondisclosure agreements and agree to stop doing news interviews and posting on social media about their experiences while working for the team," The Post said.

  • The team didn't immediately comment.
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8. 1 fun thing: Ina's Lego reveal
Photo: Ina Fried/Axios

In Axios Login, chief tech correspondent Ina Fried invited readers to guess what this Lego "build" would be when finished.

Photo: Ina Fried/Axios

Voilà! This manual typewriter, complete with classic black/red ribbon.

  • The 2,079-piece set is, alas, "temporarily out of stock" on Lego's site.
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A message from Bank of America

Community college: an engine for upward mobility
 
 

The City Colleges of Chicago are an engine for upward mobility for 70,000 students.

To ensure that the students could keep learning and preparing for their careers amid the impacts of the coronavirus, Bank of America provided a $250,000 grant to the City Colleges of Chicago Foundation.

Read more.

 

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