Wednesday, September 14, 2022

🎲Inflation Isn’t Going Away Yet – Prepare For This Move Next

Good morning. The latest CPI number for August showed a slight gain. While there was some good...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. The latest CPI number for August showed a slight gain. While there was some good news in there, particularly dropping gasoline prices, the ongoing increase in major costs for consumers such as rent/housing and groceries looks a bit dire. Added to other data, like a lack of household growth over the past year, and it's clear that inflation is here to stay – and will continue to have a negative impact on the economy.

Traders should continue to look for trades with downside potential. And look for trades that can benefit from inflation, like energy and commodity prices. But for now, a potential to retest the June lows looks on the table for investors. Plan accordingly!

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 31,104.97 -3.94%
S&P 3,932.69 -4.32%
NASDAQ 11,633.57 -5.16%
*As of market close
Markets sank on Tuesday, with the market logging its worst day in 2022.
Oil dipped 0.3 percent, to $87.52 per barrel.
Gold sank 1.6 percent, last going for about $1,713 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies dropped, with Bitcoin at $20,320 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Look For Companies Trading for Less than the Sum of Their Parts
Some companies are simple, offering only one product or service. Others have many parts. And in bear markets, complicated companies may end up trading for less than the sum of their parts. That can attract value investors, as well as activist investors.

Investors who can determine the true value of a company with a large number of different moving parts can potentially see big returns when there's a divestment, successful activist investment, or even just a market turnaround.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Tilly's (TLYS)
Michael Henry, CFO at Tilly's (TLYS), recently picked up 2,300 shares. The buy increased his holdings by about 7 percent, and came to a total cost just under $16,000.

This is the CFO's first buy since back in July, and following up on two more buys in June, following a big drop in the share price. These buys have occurred amid a backdrop of insider sales in the past year. Over the past three years, insider buys and sells have been a bit more even.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Coca-Cola (KO)
Shares of beverage giant Coca-Cola (KO) have handily beaten the bear market of 2022 with an 11 percent gain in the past year. One trader sees the stock giving back some of that outperformance in the months ahead.

That's based on the December $47.50 put. With 93 days until expiration, 6,800 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 216, for a 31-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.23 to make the bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Inflation Rose 0.1 Percent in August

The latest consumer price inflation (CPI) data shows a 0.1 percent increase for August. That goes against expectations for a further decrease following such a drop in July. While gas prices fell steeply, increases in food, shelter, and medical care services resulted in the overall increase.
Incomes Flat Last Year as Inflation Soared

According to the latest data from the Census Bureau, US household income held steady at around $70,800. That follows on a slight decrease in incomes in 2020, during the pandemic. With inflation rising during this timeframe, the lack of any household growth suggests that households lost out in real, inflation-adjusted terms.
15,000 Nurses Go on Strike in Minnesota

Amid a number of possible strikes this week, the largest so far has been a group of about 15,000 nurses in Minnesota. They work at 13 hospitals, and are fighting for better staffing and care for their patients, not for higher wages per se. That's in line with statements from other labor unions preparing to go on strike at present.
Meta Announces "Community Chat" Feature on Messenger

Messenger, the popular chat feature broken off of Meta Platforms (META) owned Facebook, is adding a "community chat" feature. That will give the platform the ability to act more like the platform Discord, and offer audio and video channels for real-time discussions.
Fidelity Looks to Add Bitcoin Options for Individual Investors

Fidelity Investments is considering allowing individual investors to trade Bitcoin on its platform. With 34.4 million customers, that would greatly increase exposure to Bitcoin in a traditional brokerage account, as opposed to having to create a separate account. At present, no other cryptos are being considered for investment.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
CTVA  0.869%
TWTR  0.797%
CF 0.674%
ALB 0.377%
MOS 0.324%
BOTTOM
EMN 11.342%
NVDA 9.473%
META 9.369%
LUMN 9.136%
WDC 9.129%

Quote of the Day
That 3,900 level on the S&P 500 is important technically, and the move that we saw off of it has been fairly strong at this point. I don't know if it is strong enough to call it a very clear reversal, but in terms of the breadth and strength of the bounce it has been reasonably encouraging. You saw this in the June rally as well where the [stock] market kind of bought into this possibility of a Fed pivot or a less-difficult outcome for the economy, but the bond market never really did. ... And by and large, that's what you saw last week as well.
- Jeff Mills, analyst at Bryn Mawr Trust, on why the stock market may be losing some steam again after its recent rally given the weaker technical indicators at play.

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