Sunday, September 18, 2022

💪 Axios AM: Trump's 2024 triumph

Plus: Texas bash for high-school stars | Sunday, September 18, 2022
 
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Axios AM
By Mike Allen · Sep 18, 2022

🥞 Happy Sunday. Smart Brevity™ count: 1,196 words ... 4½ mins. Edited by Jennifer Koons.

 
 
1 big thing: Trump's 2024 triumph
Former President Donald Trump enters the stage at his Save America rally last evening in Youngstown, Ohio. Photo: Jeff Swensen/Getty Images

Amid his legal peril, former President Trump emerges from the midterm primary season with two trophies that show the extent to which he has reshaped the Republican Party in his image — and toward his obsessions:

  1. In 24 states, across the map, Republicans are fielding 2020 presidential election deniers as November standard-bearers for statewide office — governor, secretary of state or attorney general. These candidates — nearly 1 in 3 GOP statewide candidates, according to AP — backed Trump's push to overturn the election, or spread lies about results.
  2. In the 26 notable GOP primaries where Trump made an endorsement, he went 21-5, according to a "Final Primary Report Card" by David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.

Why it matters: The implications for democracy in general, and the 2024 election in particular, are profound.

  • If Trump has foot soldiers administering elections in '24 battleground states, he'd have a distinct advantage in the general election, regardless of his Democratic opponent, Axios' Jonathan Swan notes.

Between the lines: In the 26 Democratic primaries with an endorsement by Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, those progressives went just 15-11, Wasserman found.

Data: AP. Chart: Axios Visuals

💡 Reality check: Some Republicans are what Axios' Josh Kraushaar calls "pretenders" — they raised questions about the election to win the primary, but aren't hardcore denialists.

  • Some have scrapped that talk since winning the nomination. For instance, Don Bolduc, running for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire, quickly abandoned stolen-election claims.

Most of the hardcore denialists are likely to lose in November, Kraushaar reports. A big exception is Kari Lake for Arizona governor.

  • These nominees' underdog status underscores the fact that GOP voters have gone MAGA — but fringe views don't sell outside the party's primaries.

🔬 Zoom in: The election-denial midterm caucus extends to congressional races.

  • Of 552 total Republican nominees, 201 (36%) fully denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight found. 61 more raised questions, bringing the percentage to 47% — roughly half.

The bottom line: 60% of U.S. voters will have an election denier on the ballot in November, per FiveThirtyEight.

  • Go deeper: Bloomberg tally of 258 GOP deniers ... Share this story.
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2. Biden to Putin: "Don't. Don't. Don't"
Photo: Eric Kerchner/"60 Minutes"

President Biden tells CBS News' Scott Pelley on tonight's "60 Minutes" what he would say to Vladimir Putin if he's considering using chemical weapons, or tactical nuclear weapons, in Ukraine:

"Don't. Don't. Don't. You will change the face of war unlike anything since World War II." 

Watch the video.

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3. Call for criminal probes of Martha's Vineyard flights
A child is loaded onto a bus Friday to be transported off Martha's Vineyard. Photo: Dominic Chavez for The Washington Post via Getty Images

Lawyers representing around 30 immigrants recently flown to Martha's Vineyard from Texas asked the Massachusetts attorney general and the federal government to open criminal investigations into what they described as a "political stunt," Axios' Jacob Knutson reports.

  • The lawyers say their clients "were induced to board airplanes and cross state lines under false pretenses" by people working with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R).

Read the letter ... Share this story.

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4. 📷 1,000 words
Photo: Randy Sartin/USA Today Sports via Reuters

100,000+ NASCAR fans packed last night's Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tenn. Go deeper.

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5. 🎞️ Film shows cops training for '60s riots
Scene from the documentary "Riotsville, U.S.A." Photo: Magnolia Pictures

A new documentary examines how the U.S. military in the 1960s prepared police for unrest in cities by using a fictional town and soldiers as actors, Axios' Russell Contreras reports.

  • "Riotsville, U.S.A.," released Friday in select theaters, shows militarization of police amid demands by poor communities of color to end police brutality — demands that continue today.

The film, from Magnolia Pictures, uses only archival footage from the military, newscasts and police.

  • Filmmakers pieced together a story of how police departments in the U.S. came to use military tactics, mainly against Black and Latino residents, for decades — immediately after the civil-rights movement.

🔬 Zoom in: In the late 1960s, the U.S. Army built fake towns, known as "riotsvilles," on its bases to stage and film the military response to riots.

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6. 🏠 New tool: Black Wealth Data Center

Bloomberg Philanthropies has launched an interactive database about racial wealth disparity, with the aim of increasing Black wealth accumulation, Axios' Russell Contreras reports.

  • Why it matters: Two years into a national reckoning following the death of George Floyd, banks and cities are experimenting with programs to expand homeownership among people of color. The new database could provide important information for such initiatives.

The database is a project of Bloomberg Philanthropies' Greenwood Initiative — named after Tulsa's Greenwood District, which was destroyed during the 1921 massacre.

  • The project, incubated by the D.C.-based Prosperity Now, puts existing federal and public data in a user-friendly format.

Explore the database ... Share this story.

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7. 🗞️ R.I.P., WashPost Outlook

Images by kind permission of The Washington Post.

 

After 3,500+ issues over 68 years, The Washington Post Outlook section — a Sunday staple for generations — published its last edition today.

  • The Post informed subscribers: "[E]ssays and analysis appearing in Outlook will now be found exclusively in Opinions in the A section and online."

Two former Outlook editors — Robert G. Kaiser and Steve Luxenberg — write in the final lead essay:

  • "Twenty years ago, the Sunday edition was key to the paper's prosperity. More than 900,000 people bought a copy every week. It was bursting with advertising — inserts, pages and pages of classifieds ... Outlook was a vital part of that Sunday package, which at its peak was delivered to more than 70 percent of households in the Washington metropolitan area."
  • "Today, The Post has nearly 3 million paying [digital] subscribers. Fewer than 275,000 take the Sunday [print] edition. This article will be read primarily by that dwindling and aging print audience ... Many of The Post's digital readers don't know an Outlook section ever existed."

Read the farewell essay.

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8. 💰 Juicy details: How Texas wows football prospects
Arch Manning watches a Texas Longhorns game in Austin during an unofficial visit last October. Photo: Tim Warner/Getty Images

The University of Texas spent nearly $280,000 on a blowout weekend to impress nine potential football recruits and their families, according to receipts and invoices The Athletic obtained via open records requests.

  • Under arcane college-recruiting rules, this was the players' "official" visit, which meant the school could roll out the red carpet — rooms at the Four Seasons ... a private chicken-tender bar and quesadilla station on arrival ... open bar and evening cruise for parents ... Top Golf.

🏈 Why it matters: The June weekend included Arch Manning — nephew of Eli and Peyton, and the most coveted quarterback recruit in decades, The Athletic's Sam Khan Jr. writes. Arch Manning committed to the Longhorns the next week, adding a "#HookEm" hashtag to his tweet.

  • Texas unfurled a similar itinerary for another group of prospects the following weekend, for a combined tab of $630,000 for the two weekends, The Athletic reports.
  • Of the 23 players across both weekends, 16 are now Longhorn commits — accounting for 72% of Texas' '23 recruiting class.

🥩 At III Forks, an upscale steakhouse, the Manning group ordered 46 lobsters, 34 bone-in rib-eyes, 26 filets, 17 New York strips, sea bass, chicken fried lobster and lobster mac and cheese

  • One dad, who ordered a Tomahawk ribeye ($135), told The Athletic: "I've never had a Tomahawk before, so why not?"

His son remains uncommitted. Texas is in his top 5.

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