Friday, September 9, 2022

👀Why Markets May Face a Credit Crunch and Crash in the Coming Months

Good morning. Markets hate uncertainty. And while markets also don't like rapidly rising interes...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. Markets hate uncertainty. And while markets also don't like rapidly rising interest rates, they've gotten used to the idea rather quickly. But other dangers exist. One consequence of the jump in interest rates comes from the credit markets. High-risk bonds, known as junk bonds, are seeing a rise in defaults.

If this trend continues, and it likely will as companies can't get sufficient financing if they need to roll over debt at materially higher interest rates, we could see a panic in the bond market that leads to a credit crunch. That could lead to a big drop in markets.

While that may not happen, it's just one more piece of data that looks more bearish than bullish right now. Traders should continue to look for downside opportunities, and look for quality companies to buy for the long haul as long as markets remain weak.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 31,774.52 +0.61%
S&P 4,006.18 +0.66%
NASDAQ 11,862.13 +0.60%
*As of market close
Markets moved higher on Thursday, in a volatile trading session.
Oil rose 1.1 percent, to $82.24 per barrel.
Gold slid 0.5 percent, last going for about $1,719 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded slightly higher, with Bitcoin at $19,334 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Buy When a Stock Has a Cloudy Outlook, Sell When the Skies are Clear
This year has been challenging for investors. A slowing economy and high inflation are creating a poor outlook for markets. Yet buying during challenging moments can be a solid time to invest. That's particularly true when investors sell as soon as skies are clear.

Many companies are facing challenges right now. But companies with a long operating history of succeeding in different environments should get through today's troubles with ease… although it may take some time.

» FULL STORY

Insider Trading Report: Marvell Technology (MRVL)
Michael Strachan, a director at Marvell Technology (MRVL), recently picked up 6,781 shares. The buy increased his stake by over 13 percent, and came to a total cost just over $314,000.

This marks the first insider buy at the company since early 2021. Over the past three years, insider shave been regular and consistent sellers of shares, a normal trend for a big-cap tech company.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Options Activity: Altimmune (ALT)
Shares of biotechnology company Altimmune (ALT) are up 28 percent over the past year, but are also up nearly four-fold from their 52-week lows. One trader sees shares giving back some of their recent gains.

That's based on the October $13 put. With 42 days until expiration, 6,077 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 104, for a 58-fold surge in volume. The buyer of the puts paid $1.70 to get into the trade.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
ECB Hikes Rates 0.75 Percent

The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates 0.75 percent yesterday. The rate now stands at 0.75 percent, as the ECB had previously raised its rates from negative levels to 0 percent. The move comes as inflation remains robust globally and as the world looks to bring down high inflation. The ECB has also hinted that future rate hikes will be likely.
Powell: Fed Focused on Bringing Down Inflation

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell spoke at a virtual conference on Thursday, stating that the central bank remains committed to bringing down high inflation. That will avoid the dangers of the 1970s, where high rates of inflation became entrenched in the economy.
Mortgage Rates Near 6 Percent

30-year, fixed-rate mortgages hit 5.89 percent for the week ending September 8. That's nearly double the 2.88 percent rate that mortgages were at a year ago. It's also higher than the 5.81 peak in mid-June before a small pullback. This week's rates were last seen in 2008.
GM Looks to Launch Equinox Next Fall

General Motors (GM) is looking to launch its Equinox EV next fall. The vehicle, priced at around $30,000, is expected to increase mass adoption of EVs due to its more affordable price than current EV models. GM is currently on track to exclusively offer electric cars and trucks by 2035.
Spotify Looks to Test Audio Books

Podcast giant Spotify (SPOT) is looking to add new features, including a trial of audiobooks. The company expects to be able to use an enhanced user interface similar to what the company currently uses for podcasts. The company also sees the launch as a way to grow the books and audiobooks market, which other tech companies in the podcast space have already embraced.

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
REGN 19.26%
FCX 7.241%
MRNA 4.403%
IVZ 4.315%
CFG 4.156%
BOTTOM
MKC 6.906%
KHC 3.993%
CPB 3.316%
KR 3.121%
PCAR 3.06%

Quote of the Day
With equities back to June lows and the rates path reset higher, more inflation easing along with decisive EU government intervention to tackle the energy crisis could prompt another bear squeeze. Big picture, we think stocks remain in a tough spot given a poor growth-policy trade-off.
- Emmanuel Cau, analyst at Barclays, on why the market may have a bounce higher here, but downside risks still remain to investors now.

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Why?

Because it exploits a "glitch" in the IRS tax code that helps protect your retirement with physical gold and silver all while paying ZERO TAXES & PENALTIES to do it.

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