Friday, September 9, 2022

CBOE Put/call data: Final Verdict

 CBOE Put/call data: Final Verdict

 

Corona Del Mar, CA

 

Hey ,

 

In the last update, I loaded up AAII sentiment data into The Boss...and it was a complete dud.

 

Not predictive.

 

I'm not surprised because someone's opinion is worth way less than how much money they have on the line.

 

So I figured put/call ratios and such would have some predictive power since it's based on actual trading.

 

The fellas loaded up the data, and I got to "work"

 

I use the term "work" loosely because it only took me 5 minutes of editing a Boss Template to get started.

I ended up running 10 tests where The Boss programmed itself in C code.

 

If The Boss isn't finding something in 10 tests, there isn't an edge.

 

Once again, price data (open, high, low, close, volume, time) easily beat put/call data.

 

It wasn't even close.

 

Just to be sure I even combined sentiment with the put/call data. Nada.

 

Couldn't beat price.

 

By comparison, 100% of the time, the new T.A.P (True Asset Price) data beats price/volume data.

 

Man...I can't tell you how many times I've heard some "guru" use put/call data as part of their evidence as to why the market should move up or down.

 

Now that I think about it, these are the same folks that draw lines on charts and try to get into the minds of Fed board members.

 

I stopped doing that 20+ years ago because I went broke.

 

So there you have it ...another Wall Street sacred cow has been slaughtered.

 

URGENT

 

I just got done recording an urgent message.

 

I have good news and bad news.

 

Watch here immediately >>

 

Trade smart,

 

Dan "Prince of Proof" Murphy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portfolio Boss, Inc.

260 Newport Center Dr, Suite 100 Newport Beach, CA 92660

 

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