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Gold Is Testing Its 200-Day SMA—These 3 Mining Stocks Are the Play
By Chris Markoch. Date Posted: 6/15/2026.
Key Points
- Gold's test of its 200-day SMA may represent a healthy consolidation rather than the end of the bull market.
- Agnico Eagle and Royal Gold offer defensive exposure through cost discipline and royalty-based cash flows.
- Kinross Gold provides greater upside potential for investors expecting gold prices to resume their advance.
- Special Report: SpaceX is offering you shares. Don't take them.
Gold is at an inflection point. After a historic run that pushed the metal above $5,300 per ounce in January 2025, spot prices have fallen below the 200-day simple moving average and briefly dipped under $4,100.
J.P. Morgan's head of base and precious metals research recently described gold’s move as a "sideways plod," with investor attention fading amid concerns that the Fed might have to respond to energy-driven inflation with rate hikes.
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Porter Stansberry, founder of one of the largest financial research firms in the world, says he's breaking the biggest story of his 26-year career - an economic shift not seen since 1776.
From the government taking stakes in Intel, Lithium Americas, and MP Materials, to sweeping political changes reshaping the economy, Stansberry argues a rare 'New 1776 Moment' is already underway. One Nobel Prize winner calls it a dividing line for all of society.
His presentation covers the stocks to buy, the stocks to sell, and three money moves to position yourself on the right side of this shift.
Watch Porter Stansberry's full briefing and learn how to prepare nowGold is also under pressure because at least two central banks—Turkey and India—have sold a portion of their physical gold to prop up their currencies, which are being ravaged by inflation.
Why Gold's Pullback Could Create Opportunity
Gold's pullback, as frustrating as it may be to speculators, is historically constructive for the long-term case. When gold tests its 200-day simple moving average, one of two things happens: price bounces and momentum resets, setting the stage for the next leg higher—or price breaks down briefly and flushes weak hands before recovering.
However, volatility like this often keeps investors away from physical gold. The good news is that both outcomes tend to reward gold miners, particularly those with the lowest all-in sustaining costs, the cleanest balance sheets, and enough operational leverage to benefit when margins expand again. Here are three names built for both scenarios.
Agnico Eagle Mines: The Cost Discipline Standard-Bearer
When it comes to senior gold producers, cost discipline is the ultimate differentiator—and Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE: AEM) is a benchmark in that regard. The company posted full-year 2025 AISC (all-in sustaining cost) of $1,339 per ounce, revised to $1,313 under its updated cost composition methodology, against an average realized gold price of $3,453 per ounce.
That spread gives Agnico margins most producers would envy. That advantage showed up in record annual free cash flow of $4.4 billion.
The 2026 guidance range of $1,400 to $1,550 per ounce in AISC looks conservative relative to where gold is trading today. Even as gold pulls back toward the $4,000 level, Agnico's cost structure keeps it comfortably profitable, while higher-cost peers feel the squeeze.
Geography is part of the story, too. The majority of Agnico's production comes from Canada—Nunavut, Ontario, and Quebec—with additional assets in Finland and Mexico. That portfolio carries a geopolitical stability premium that investors have increasingly been willing to pay. In a world where supply-chain risk and resource nationalism are live concerns for miners operating in West Africa or Latin America, Agnico's Canadian foundation is a genuine differentiator, not just marketing language.
The company trades at around 15x earnings and 12x forward earnings. Both numbers are discounts to the S&P 500 and, more importantly, to the company’s historic average. Analysts are bullish, with a consensus Moderate Buy rating and a $236.08 price target, representing 45% upside as of this writing.
Royal Gold: Gold Exposure Without the Shovel
Royal Gold (NASDAQ: RGLD) isn’t a miner. But the company’s streaming and royalty model has structural advantages that are independent of gold’s spot price. Where a traditional miner faces rising labor costs, fuel expenses, and operational risks, Royal Gold simply receives a contractual percentage of production or purchases metal at a fixed price. The company's AISC is effectively zero in the conventional sense; its "cost" is the upfront capital deployed to acquire streams and royalties.
The 2025 results demonstrated what that model looks like in a high-gold-price environment. Revenue surpassed $1 billion for the first time, a 43% jump from 2024, while record operating cash flow came in at $704.8 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA margin runs above 80%. Q1 2026 was even stronger—revenue hit $469 million for a single quarter, up 143% year over year, as the full contribution from its acquisitions of Sandstorm Gold and Horizon Copper came through for the first time.
The royalty model also means Royal Gold holds up better in a gold downdraft. Fixed-cost streaming agreements insulate it from mine-level cost inflation, and its diversified portfolio spread across four continents limits single-asset exposure. Gold still drove 71% of revenue in Q1 2026, giving investors meaningful leverage to the metal's price.
For investors who believe that gold will continue to trade below its 200-day SMA before reversing, Royal Gold offers one of the best risk-adjusted ways to stay long the gold thesis without holding the most operationally vulnerable names. Analysts give RGLD a consensus price target of $280.70, which would be an increase of about 41.8%.
Kinross Gold (KGC): Higher Beta for the Bulls
Kinross Gold (NYSE: KGC) is the name for investors who believe in a bullish reversal in gold prices. In 2025, Kinross produced 2.15 million attributable gold equivalent ounces at AISC of $1,372 per ounce while generating full-year revenue of $4.85 billion. Q4 attributable free cash flow hit a record $769.4 million, and management used the strength to reduce debt, including redeeming $500 million in 2027 notes and raising its dividend by 17%.
The balance sheet transformation is notable. A few years ago, Kinross carried meaningful balance sheet risk and elevated costs relative to senior peers.
That's no longer the case. As of Q1 2026, the company held $780 million in cash with $450 million in additional liquidity. Record AISC margins of more than $3,000 per ounce in Q1 2026, against realized prices north of $4,800, show what the business looks like when gold glitters.
About 70% of the company’s production comes from the Americas, which reduces geopolitical risk relative to peers with heavier exposure to West Africa.
The Great Bear project in Ontario provides a credible, long-dated growth option as the company advances it toward a production decision.
KGC has a forward P/E of around 8x and has a consensus price target of $38.81, which would be a 61% increase from the stock’s closing price on June 10.
Time to Sell? 3 Winners With Fading Technical Momentum
By Dan Schmidt. Date Posted: 6/13/2026.
Key Points
- Volatile markets can make it difficult for investors to decide on a course of action, especially when 2% daily moves are the norm.
- When markets become volatile, technical analysis becomes more crucial for identifying trends and momentum shifts.
- Fortinet, Amprius Technologies, and AppLovin are three stocks showing bearish technical signals despite gaining 20% or more over the past 12 months, indicating it might be time to hit the cash register.
- Special Report: SpaceX is offering you shares. Don't take them.
Markets move faster than ever these days, and yesterday’s winners can quickly become today’s losers. When prices outrun fundamentals, traders often turn to technical indicators and signals to guide their decisions. Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) don’t have prophetic powers, but they can offer clues about where a stock may be headed and how much strength supports the move. Used together, these indicators can provide solid evidence that a downtrend is about to break. Or, in the case of these three stocks, that an uptrend is losing momentum.
The tech sector has been one of the market’s most volatile areas over the past few weeks, with the Nasdaq 100 fluctuating by more than 2% in a single day on multiple occasions. While volatile sessions can be fun for day traders, it can be difficult to read the market when indices swing by 2% every day. That’s where technical analysis comes in. Technical indicators use recent price data to generate actionable signals about momentum shifts and trend continuation. By applying technical analysis, we can make educated predictions about a stock’s future path based on the intensity of buying or selling activity around it.
Understanding what Trump just did (Ad)
Porter Stansberry, founder of one of the largest financial research firms in the world, says he's breaking the biggest story of his 26-year career - an economic shift not seen since 1776.
From the government taking stakes in Intel, Lithium Americas, and MP Materials, to sweeping political changes reshaping the economy, Stansberry argues a rare 'New 1776 Moment' is already underway. One Nobel Prize winner calls it a dividing line for all of society.
His presentation covers the stocks to buy, the stocks to sell, and three money moves to position yourself on the right side of this shift.
Watch Porter Stansberry's full briefing and learn how to prepare nowEach of the following three stocks meets a specific set of criteria. All three have gained 20% or more over the last 12 months, driven by various fundamental and macro factors. However, all three are now showing technical warning signs that investors should examine carefully.
Fortinet: Overbought Peak With Insider Selling Warning
Fortinet Inc. (NASDAQ: FTNT) has been the face of the “software isn’t dead” narrative. The $106 billion cybersecurity firm has seen its stock surge more than 80% year-to-date (YTD), including more than 70% over the past three months alone.
The software sector seemed to be in the crosshairs of agentic AI, and funds like the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (BATS: IGV) lost more than 35% of their value between September and April. However, strong earnings from companies like Fortinet showed that AI can complement software platforms rather than wipe them out. Fortinet smashed expectations in Q1 2026, beating both top- and bottom-line estimates and posting 20% year-over-year (YOY) revenue growth.
Management also raised full-year guidance and repurchased more than $800 million worth of stock. So why is this stock on a “time to sell” list? Because sometimes the most important warning signs aren’t on the chart. Insiders have been selling stock at a faster pace over the last two quarters, including a $23 million sale by CEO Ken Xie.
There has been no significant insider buying in the past year, and insider selling near a technical top is often a warning sign. Widening Bollinger Bands suggest that volatile trading has become the norm for FTNT shares, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has turned bearish following the strong rally. The company’s long-term fundamentals still look promising, but it may be wise to lock in some short-term profits now.
Amprius: Technical Breakdown Amid Negative Catalysts
Amprius Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AMPX) lacks the strong fundamental foundation that Fortinet has, which means its downturn could be much sharper.
The lithium-ion battery producer is beating revenue estimates, and its stock is still up more than 100% YTD, but the rally is faltering amid concerns about the quality of its revenue. A recent report by a short-seller claims that the company inflates its orders and engages in undisclosed transactions with a related party affiliated with Amprius’s CEO.
The company also reported a larger-than-expected loss in its Q1 2026 earnings report on May 6, and insiders have sold $83 million worth of shares over the last three quarters, without a single buy.
AMPX may be heading toward a dreaded double-top pattern, and other signals suggest the rally is over. Both the RSI and MACD have been trending lower since mid-March, and the former has spent most of the last six weeks in bearish territory. AMPX isn’t profitable yet, and short sellers are openly questioning its revenue streams, so it would be wise to avoid this stock or take profits while you can.
AppLovin: Death Cross Overshadows Fundamental Strength
AppLovin Corp. (NASDAQ: APP) is already down more than 25% YTD, even though it grew revenue by more than 56% in Q1 2026 and remains well regarded by analysts. But despite a strong fundamental picture, the stock is in the throes of a bear market that has proven difficult to shake.
It may seem counterintuitive, but APP shares probably won’t reflect the company’s strength until the technical setup improves.
An early-March Death Cross indicated that the stock had a long way to go before regaining buying momentum.
The Death Cross sent the stock plunging below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, where it stayed until late May.
APP shares tried to break out at the end of May, but sellers quickly pushed the share price back below the 200-day moving average. The stock is now once again testing the 50-day moving average. With the RSI also below 50, APP shares can stay on your watchlist until they make a decisive move above the 50-day moving average.
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