911 trades through a crypto crash - here's what happened

Edward Lance Lorilla
By -
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Let me show you some numbers that won't impress you.

An automated system called WaveBot. Eight months. One of the ugliest bear stretches crypto has had in years.

In that window, the bots ran 911 closed trades.

Averaged about 2.3% a month. In a falling market.

Turned $40,000 into roughly $7,300 in profit.

That's it. No moonshot. No 100x. Just grinding.

And that's the entire point.

Anybody looks like a genius when everything's green. The real test is what a system does when the screen is bleeding and your gut is screaming "sell." These bots just kept working while most people closed the app and walked away.

Now flip it forward.

New capital is heading into the markets over the next few months. Crypto has historically caught a piece of that flow. Which means the moment to have a boring, disciplined engine running is before the turn — not after you've already missed it.

The full breakdown is in the workshop: projections at different account sizes, real talk on drawdowns, the honest stuff.

And yes, the honest stuff matters here. WaveBot needs real capital ($3K–$10K to work as built). It has real drawdowns. It takes patience. If you want a magic button, this isn't it.

If you want the engine, it's right here.

👉 [Watch the the full workshop here→]

(Past performance does not indicate future returns. Projections are illustrative only. Forward-looking statements are speculative. Trading carries substantial risk, including total loss of capital.)


 
 
 
 
 
 

Additional Reading from MarketBeat

SMX: Can Molecular Tracking Technology Become the Next Moonshot?

Reported by Chris Markoch. Published: 6/12/2026.

SMX logo displayed against a background of molecular structure models.

Key Points

  • SMX is developing molecular tracking technology that embeds invisible markers into materials, creating verifiable supply chain records designed to support authenticity, sustainability, and circular economy initiatives.
  • Despite a potentially large market opportunity, SMX remains a pre-revenue company with no reported commercial revenue, mounting losses, and balance sheet challenges that increase execution risk.
  • SMX represents a high-risk, high-reward speculative investment where future success depends on converting pilot programs into commercial contracts before additional capital raises become necessary.
  • Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO

It wasn’t that long ago that investing in space seemed like a moonshot rooted more in hype than hope. Today, the SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) IPO is captivating investors for good reason. SpaceX is the biggest name in a sector that’s now delivering on its promise.

Early investors are being rewarded for their risk. For speculative investors willing to look around the corner at a potentially lucrative industry, it may be time to consider SMX (NASDAQ: SMX)—the company formerly known as Security Matters.

The Foundational Layer of the Circular Economy

SpaceX will crumble without these 5 companies (Ad)

The SpaceX IPO is drawing near, but the real opportunity may lie in 5 lesser-known companies providing the critical infrastructure SpaceX depends on to operate.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are reportedly already building positions in one of these names. Another is a resource miner that Elon Musk's broader empire - including Tesla - relies on. Lance Ippolito has detailed all five inside his free SpaceX Investing Blackbook.

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SMX is trying to carve out a leadership position in the circular economy by solving the problem of authenticity in global supply chains. Specifically, it aims to answer where something is, where it came from, and whether it’s been tampered with.

Think about a bar of gold, a barrel of oil, or a batch of recycled plastic. Today, the only proof of origin is paperwork. However, those documents can be falsified, lost, or separated from the product.

SMX's answer is to make the material itself carry its own unforgeable ID. The company's platform embeds invisible molecular markers directly into physical materials.

This allows items to carry a persistent identity that can be detected and verified throughout their lifecycle. Every handoff, every processing step, and every shipment can be recorded and stored immutably on blockchain ledgers, creating a transparent chain of custody that follows the material from raw extraction to deployment.

Equally important, the molecular markers cannot be removed or faked.

How Does SMX Translate Opportunity Into Revenue?

The company has four avenues to monetize its technology:

  • Licensing the technology to manufacturers and commodity producers

  • Selling proprietary reader hardware

  • Subscription or SaaS fees for access to the digital verification platform

  • Project-based revenue: pilot programs, integration projects, and proof-of-concept contracts with enterprise partners

However, by its own admission, SMX has reported zero revenue in all of the SEC filings it’s made to date. Furthermore, the company doesn’t list any commercial customers or contracts. This comes at a time when losses are mounting, and shareholder equity has fallen about 90% between FY2023 and the middle of 2025.

The Challenge: A Decade in Business With No Revenue

As governments crack down on sustainability claims, recycled content, and supply chain transparency, these issues haven’t yet reached critical mass. That’s a risk for investors because SMX is a 10-year-old company that’s still in the pre-revenue stage.

Complicating matters further is the company’s recent reverse stock split at a ratio of 2.285:1. As reverse splits go, that’s not egregious, but it does underscore the risk investors take on when dealing with a company that is not yet profitable in a market where competition for capital has increased.

On the other hand, prior to the reverse split, the company awarded two million restricted stock units to its executive team. That’s not the action of a company with a going concern risk.

SMX Is a Binary Bet on Adoption and Execution

SMX is not for every investor, but it checks many of the boxes that attract speculative capital. It has a novel technology, a large addressable market, and regulatory tailwinds building behind it.

That said, investors need to go in with their eyes open. Short interest in SMX has been elevated and volatile. As of May 29, roughly 63% of the float was sold short, most likely in anticipation of the reverse split. High short interest cuts both ways. It reflects skepticism from professional traders, but it also creates the conditions for a short squeeze if positive catalysts emerge.

The more fundamental concern is competition. SMX is not operating in a vacuum. Applied DNA Sciences has a similar molecular tagging platform and already has paying customers in the textile industry. Authentix, a private firm, has been embedding chemical markers into fuels and pharmaceuticals for national governments and regulators for years. Neither has "won" the market, but both have commercial revenue that SMX currently lacks.

For investors, the question is whether SMX can convert its pipeline of pilots and proof-of-concept agreements into actual revenue before its balance sheet forces it to raise capital again on unfavorable terms. With a current ratio of 0.59—meaning current liabilities exceed current assets—that clock is ticking.

SMX is a binary bet. The stock is being ignored by analysts and institutional investors. If the circular economy regulatory wave accelerates and SMX lands even one major commercial contract, the story changes quickly. However, if it doesn't, the accumulated deficit keeps growing and dilution risk rises. It’s a cheaper moonshot than SpaceX, but the risks are real.


Special Report

3 Long-Duration Treasury ETFs to Watch if Rates Fall

Authored by Nathan Reiff. Article Posted: 6/15/2026.

Stacks of US currency and an official document sit on a desk in a government chamber.

Key Points

  • Long-duration Treasury bond ETFs may offer contrarian upside if inflation eases and interest rates decline from elevated levels.
  • TLT provides the most liquid and straightforward access to 20-plus-year Treasuries, with over $40 billion in assets and a 4.55% dividend yield.
  • EDV offers a lower expense ratio of 0.05% and greater diversification than ZROZ, though it carries a slightly lower dividend yield of 4.97%.
  • Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO

Long-duration U.S. Treasury bonds have struggled amid inflation, shifting interest rates, and yields that have climbed sharply since their pandemic-era lows. While the consensus view is that long bonds carry significant risk, contrarian investors may argue that long-duration Treasury bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer asymmetric upside if inflation fears fade and rates normalize.

Oil prices could be an important factor, as spikes in crude often help keep inflation sticky. A reduction in geopolitical risk—such as a ceasefire between the United States and Iran—could lower both inflation expectations and Treasury yields. Because even a modest decline in long-term yields can have a major impact on long-duration bond performance, investors anticipating such a shift may want to get in now.

A Highly Liquid Option for Straightforward Long-Duration Treasury Access

SpaceX will crumble without these 5 companies (Ad)

The SpaceX IPO is drawing near, but the real opportunity may lie in 5 lesser-known companies providing the critical infrastructure SpaceX depends on to operate.

Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are reportedly already building positions in one of these names. Another is a resource miner that Elon Musk's broader empire - including Tesla - relies on. Lance Ippolito has detailed all five inside his free SpaceX Investing Blackbook.

Download the free SpaceX Investing Blackbook before these names go mainstreamtc pixel

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) is a highly liquid long-duration bond fund that may appeal to investors seeking to extend the duration of their portfolios. The fund has more than $40 billion in assets and a one-month average trading volume of just under 27 million shares.

As the name suggests, TLT focuses on Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. That extended duration leaves these bonds especially sensitive to interest rate risk, which is one reason long-duration securities may not be heavily represented in broader bond funds. For that reason, a fund like TLT can be a useful way to gain targeted exposure to this segment of the market.

TLT's portfolio includes about 50 distinct Treasury bond positions, and the fund pays a dividend yield of 4.55%. If yields do decline, TLT may see meaningful upside while remaining less volatile than some more rate-sensitive alternatives. In terms of liquidity, ease of access, and strategy simplicity, TLT can be a strong option for investors looking to broaden their Treasury exposure.

A STRIPS Approach With High Interest Rate Impact

For a slightly different approach, the PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index ETF (NYSEARCA: ZROZ) tracks an index of STRIPS—bonds with the interest payments removed and sold separately, leaving only the principal paid at maturity. Specifically, ZROZ focuses on STRIPS tied to bonds with at least 25 years remaining until maturity.

With an ultra-long-duration strategy like this, interest rate movements are especially impactful. When rates fall, the fund is likely to perform well, making ZROZ a compelling candidate for investors expecting rates to come down after a prolonged period of elevation.

The unique approach ZROZ takes makes it significantly more niche than TLT, and the fund's asset base of just $1.3 billion and modest trading volume—a one-month average of just over half a million shares—reflect that. ZROZ is therefore not the most liquid long-duration bond fund, and investors seeking more active trading should take note. Still, its dividend yield of 5.08% is attractive, and ZROZ matches TLT's expense ratio of 0.15% exactly.

An Alternative to ZROZ With Lower Fees and Higher Liquidity, But a Yield Trade-Off

The Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSEARCA: EDV) takes a similar approach to ZROZ by focusing on long-duration STRIPS with maturities between 20 and 30 years. For investors seeking exposure to high-quality government debt, EDV may be a strong choice. Of course, like ZROZ, EDV also carries more interest rate risk than some other bond fund options.

Investors expecting the Fed to hold rates steady or cut them in the future might also reasonably expect EDV to deliver attractive returns, given its yield advantage over shorter-term Treasury investments. One key difference between EDV and ZROZ is EDV's significant fee advantage: its expense ratio of 0.05% is just a third of its rival's. It also has a larger asset base of about $3.5 billion and more robust trading volume.

With a broader portfolio of more than 80 positions, EDV is also more diversified than ZROZ. Where the fund falls slightly short of its competitor, however, is yield. EDV's yield is slightly lower at 4.97%. Still, giving up a bit of yield in exchange for greater liquidity, broader diversification, and a substantially lower fee may make EDV the STRIPS fund of choice for many investors who are bullish on long-term Treasury prospects.

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