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Today's Exclusive Story
3 Stocks Flashing Rare Buy Signals After the Market's Wildest MonthWritten by Bridget Bennett. Posted: 4/21/2026. 
Key Points
- The Nasdaq just notched its longest winning streak since July 2009, with the rally landing right as the Iran ceasefire heads into a make-or-break week.
- Short-term signal-based trading thrives in exactly the kind of whiplash conditions investors are seeing right now, with volatility multiplying setups rather than erasing them.
- Tradesmith CEO Keith Kaplan's system flagged United Airlines, DT Midstream and Astera Labs as high-probability short-term setups, each scoring above 95 on quality.
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The S&P 500 hit an all-time high. Then a war, an oil shock and a geopolitical gut-punch erased nearly 10% in 30 days. In even less time the index roared back above 7,000 and set a new record. Gold is hovering near $4,820 an ounce. Oil is swinging between $85 and $110 a barrel on every Strait of Hormuz headline. Inflation just printed 3.3%, the biggest monthly jump since June 2022. That’s the setup: all-time highs during a fragile ceasefire that expires April 22, with the safe-haven trade screaming in the background.
For a moment…
Forget about Trump’s ties to Israel.
Forget about reports of Iran’s nuclear program.
Because my research has led me to believe we’re risking World War 3 with Iran for a completely different reason. Click here to find out what it is.
For buy-and-hold investors it can feel like whiplash. For traders who read the data, it’s the kind of environment that produces some of the cleanest setups of the decade. Volatility Doesn't Kill Signals—It Multiplies ThemThe core reframing from Tradesmith CEO Keith Kaplan is this: rapid, dramatic price swings don't erase repeatable patterns in market data. They push the tape into rare configurations that appear only a handful of times per decade, and those configurations have the highest historical accuracy and the largest potential gains. It's the Jim Simons playbook, updated for the post-2020 market. Simons averaged 66% annual returns for four decades by ignoring long-term fundamentals and hunting short-term, repeatable mathematical patterns. Kaplan's team has built a machine-learning system that scans roughly 2,500 stocks each morning for those fingerprints, then scores each signal against current market conditions. That matters because the same signal doesn't behave the same way across every tape. Context is the filter. Three names cleared that filter this week. United Airlines Stock: A High-Quality Mean Reversion SetupFirst on the list is United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UAL). Kaplan's system flagged UAL with a "bullish pivot" signal — Tradesmith's term for a mean-reversion setup — and scored it 98.82 out of 100 on quality. The historical accuracy on this fingerprint is 92.41%, with an average return of 6.66% and an average hold time of just over half a month. Annualize that, and the numbers get interesting fast. The key point — and what separates signal-based trading from conventional analysis — is that the setup has nothing to do with fuel costs, booking trends or the latest earnings report. It's a pattern in the price data that has paid out roughly nine times out of 10 when it has fired in the past. The target exit is an 8% move, which is meaningful for a stock like UAL. DT Midstream Stock: An Oversold Signal in a Small-Cap NameThe second name is DT Midstream Inc. (NYSE: DTM), a natural gas pipeline and storage operator with a market cap just under $14 billion that has traded publicly since July 2021. DTM showed a streak of progressively lower closes in March and early April — one of the more reliable oversold fingerprints in Kaplan's system. Quality score: 95.63. Average return when this signal has fired: 8.85%. Historical max loss: under 4%. Win rate: just over nine in 10. The median gain is about 10.5%, and exits are either signal-based or time-based, with a hard stop around a month. The risk is the one every small-cap trader knows: lower float means lower liquidity, so position sizing matters more here than with a name like UAL. The upside is a clean, oversold setup in a sector many traders are overlooking right now. Astera Labs Stock: A Speculative Sprint SignalThe third name is the speculative one. Astera Labs Inc. (NASDAQ: ALAB) has run hard since its March 2024 debut, and the system tagged it with what Tradesmith calls a "sprint" signal — momentum likely to carry further. Quality score on ALAB came in near 100. Historical win rate is almost nine in 10 when this signal has fired, with an average return of 27.22%. The max loss on record is close to 6%, and one prior signal produced a 50% gain. ALAB sold off roughly 5% on the day of filming; Kaplan views that pullback as a gift — a potential second entry on top of an already-strong signal. The risk is obvious: a few prior fires of this specific pattern closed at losses. Size positions accordingly. What the NASDAQ's Streak Is Telling TradersZoom out and the backdrop gets more interesting. The Nasdaq Composite just notched a streak of consecutive higher closes — its longest winning run since July 2009. History suggests these streaks are often followed by short-term volatility and longer-term strength. The setup is precisely the kind of repeatable pattern Kaplan's system is built to read, and it flashed as the Iran ceasefire headed into a make-or-break week. Expect turbulence. Expect signals. This environment favors traders who are paying attention. |
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