Monday, June 27, 2022

White House faces pressure on abortion rights

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POLITICO Playbook

By Eugene Daniels and Ryan Lizza

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Scenes from outside the Supreme Court after the overturn of Roe v. Wade.

While the White House had planned to focus on foreign policy this week, they are now grappling with the aftermath of the Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. | Francis Chung/E&E News/POLITICO

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DRIVING THE DAY

THE WEEK — Today: SCOTUS will announce new rulings starting at 10 a.m. … Tuesday: Primaries in Colorado, Illinois, New York, Oklahoma and Utah. Primary runoffs in Mississippi and South Carolina. A special election in Nebraska's First District … Wednesday: HILLARY CLINTON speaks at the Aspen Ideas Festival. Rep. LIZ CHENEY (R-Wyo.) speaks at the Reagan Library … Thursday: President JOE BIDEN holds a press conference in Madrid … Friday: Canada Day

The Biden White House's plan for this week, as of one week ago: Spend the end of June focusing on foreign policy, making use of a pair of European summits (the G-7 and NATO) to rally support for the hard-fought international coalition that formed in opposition to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

The Biden White House's plan for this week, as of now: Scrap that. Yes, the summits will go on ( more on that below), but the big story will be the aftermath of the Supreme Court's decision overturning Roe v. Wade — which eliminated the right to an abortion, and may have dramatically changed American politics in doing so.

Even while he's in Europe, President JOE BIDEN will continue to focus his message on abortion rights, according to aides. "Throughout the week, we're going to be making a strong case demonstrating the contrast between the President … and the radical policies proposed by Republican officials," a White House official told Playbook on Sunday night.

It's hard to overstate the amount of pressure the administration feels at the moment amid calls from allies to do something proactive to fight for abortion rights — and to do it quickly.

But Biden advisers see this as being similar to inflation: an issue where the president — any president — cannot make meaningful change on his or her own. And with many of the left's proposed responses either off the table (e.g. expanding the number of justices on the court ) or unlikely to happen (e.g. opening abortion clinics on federal land or the Senate eliminating the filibuster so that abortion rights can be codified by a simple majority), that leaves the administration with relatively few options.

So what is the White House planning to do? 

Biden has promised to take executive action (though it's unclear what precisely that would look like), and will use federal agencies — including the Departments of Justice and Health and Human Services — to protect access to abortion. A White House official tells us there'll be "several relevant agency announcements" this week, including a PR blitz with officials doing interviews, events and social media posts. Playing a particularly prominent role in that push: VP KAMALA HARRIS, who, per an aide, will "continue to be vocal about what this means and the path forward, including through national interviews." Stay tuned for more.

Top reads on this post-Roe moment …

— USA Today's A1 headline this morning: "Court's legitimacy in question after ruling," via John Fritze. The front page The article

— The 30,000-foot political view: "The Ruling Was Just the Beginning: Both Sides Mobilize Over Abortion," by NYT's Kate Zernike. The decision Friday "has unleashed a frenzy of activity on both sides of the abortion fight, with anti-abortion forces vowing to push for near-total bans in every state in the nation, and abortion rights groups insisting they would harness rage over the decision to take to the streets, fight back in the courts and push the Biden administration to do more to protect abortion rights."

— Some states newly imposing heavy restrictions on abortion provide de jure exemptions in the case of rape or incest. But in reality, the withering of infrastructure to perform abortions will make it hard for people to obtain one even in those circumstances — and crossing state lines may prove necessary, Megan Messerly reports this morning.

LAURIE BERTRAM ROBERTS , co-director of the Mississippi Reproductive Freedom Fund: "If you think you're one of the 'good people' who would only need an abortion in a 'good instance' — baby, they came for you already, too. They're not going to let you have an abortion, either."

— The next frontier in the agency fight: In states that ban or severely restrict abortion, medication abortion will become a key battlefield, as Republicans work to bar the pills even as enforcement is more difficult, reports NYT's Pam Belluck. The Biden administration is working to protect access to the pills, "[b]ut it is unclear what the Justice Department can do."

— POLL OF THE DAY: A new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist finds Americans opposed to the Supreme Court decision by a 56% to 40% margin, with a plurality strongly opposed and Democrats getting more energized to vote. But: A majority of Americans still oppose expanding the Supreme Court.

This also caught our eye: On the Dobbs ruling, "there is a massive split by education — 69% of college graduates oppose the decision while those without degrees are split. Half of whites without degrees support the decision, while two-thirds of whites with college degrees oppose it."

Good Monday morning. Thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza .

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MEANWHILE, IN EUROPE — Our colleagues Andrew Desiderio and Paul McLearylook at both the thorny international dynamics of this week's NATO meeting, and the complex political headwinds here at home.

The U.S. wants major European powers to do more to help Ukraine. "Already, tension is building within NATO as powers like Germany and France deliver amounts of weapons and aid at a pace slower than their economic power suggests they're capable of," Paul and Andrew write.

A defense official from an Eastern European NATO country, speaking on condition of anonymity: "[W]hen it comes to weapons aid, there is room to do 10 times more. … When it comes to sanctions, then there is room to do much more."

The known unknown: It's unclear how much more the U.S. is willing to do. Congress is "trying to balance the moral imperative of supporting Ukraine with the challenge of keeping American voters on board with helping Ukraine despite domestic challenges from inflation to social-issue tensions," Paul and Andrew write.

"That dynamic is causing fresh worries on Capitol Hill that, as the midterm elections approach, the overwhelmingly bipartisan support that came with previous aid packages could fade. Members of Congress may also start looking for an offramp from a biting sanctions regime that's had the unintended consequence of contributing to high consumer costs for Americans."

There are divisions about this on both sides of the aisle. Allies of DONALD TRUMP "are continuing to blast the Ukraine aid packages as irresponsible, and several Trump-endorsed candidates are set to replace retiring GOP senators who have been staunch supporters of the alliance, while some progressives "have suggested they might not support another aid package unless the Pentagon can show that it's properly tracking the flow of weapons into Ukraine."

 

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French President Emmanuel Macron whispers to U.S. President Joe Biden following their dinner at the G7 Summit in Elmau, Germany, Sunday, June 26, 2022. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh)

French President Emmanuel Macron whispers to U.S. President Joe Biden following their dinner at the G-7 Summit in Elmau, Germany on Sunday. | AP

BIDEN'S MONDAY — The president is in Germany, where he's already taken part in a G-7 summit session on Ukraine. Still to come (all times Eastern):

— 6:30 a.m.: Biden will have a working lunch with outreach partners and heads of international organizations on climate, energy and health.

— 8 a.m.: Biden will take part in a family photo with the G-7 leaders and others.

— 9:30 a.m.: Biden will take part in a plenary with outreach partners and international organizations on food security and gender equality.

HARRIS' MONDAY — The VP will swear in BRIDGET BRINK as ambassador to Ukraine at 5:55 p.m.

THE HOUSE and THE SENATE are out.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 

PHOTO OF THE DAY

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 26:  U.S. Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) holds a gavel during the 52nd Annual San Francisco Pride Parade and Celebration on June 26, 2022 in San Francisco, California. Thousands of people came out to the annual SF Pride Parade after a two year hiatus due to the COVID-19 pandemic. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)

Speaker Nancy Pelosi holds a gavel during the 52nd Annual San Francisco Pride Parade and Celebration on Sunday in San Francisco, California. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

PLAYBOOK READS

ALL POLITICS

WILL SCOTUS TAKE ON VOTING RIGHTS (AGAIN)? — As the South redistricts for the first time since the Supreme Court gutted parts of the Voting Rights Act nine years ago, the high court will have a new chance next year to reexamine the law's other crucial component, Zach Montellaro previews this morning . We've already seen some of the effects of the 2013 decision this year, as challenges to Republican maps have failed to secure changes for minority representation. Now, "[t]he result of the [new] case could make it more difficult for minority communities to claim new election laws are discriminatory — and raise the bar for what has to happen to get relief from the courts."

THE LONG GAME — Even as Democrats control Washington, Republicans are the ones ascendant with major policy victories these days from abortion to schools, thanks to the courts and the states, WaPo's Michael Scherer writes in a sweeping look at this counterintuitive political moment. It's a far cry from the New Deal-esque agenda some Dems envisioned at the start of Biden's presidency — and even if they win again in 2024, they don't have much hope of a radically different scenario.

TONY PERKINS, president of the Family Research Council: "You don't plant and reap at the same time. And this has been a long process. The fruit of [overturning Roe v. Wade] has been a long time coming."

GROVER NORQUIST, president of Americans for Tax Reform: "I don't see what permanent structures that the Democrats created in their first two years. Obamacare was a permanent structure."

EMPIRE STATE OF MIND — How did New York Gov. KATHY HOCHUL sail to what's expected to be an easy nomination for another term this week? At least one major challenger didn't challenge, and "legislative wins in Albany and the shifting focus of the electorate put her … back on track," reports Marie French from Albany.

— A man was taken into custody after he slapped RUDY GIULIANI on the back Sunday on Staten Island. Giuliani was campaigning with his son ANDREW, who's running for governor. Giuliani told the N.Y. Post's Carl Campanile, Joe Marino, Larry Celona and Jorge Fitz-Gibbon that the man called him a "scumbag" and was upset about abortion. Giuliani said the slap felt like "somebody shot me," and if he weren't in good shape, "I would have hit the ground and probably cracked my skull." (That is … not quite what the video looks like.) They report that the man will be charged with assault.

— The tight race for the Democratic lieutenant gubernatorial nomination is the latest progressive-vs.-moderate contest for the party, as ANA MARÍA ARCHILA takes on Rep. ANTONIO DELGADO, per WSJ's Jimmy Vielkind.

JUST POSTED — "Violent Threats to Election Workers Are Common. Prosecutions are Not." by NYT's Michael Wines and Eliza Fawcett

JUDICIARY SQUARE

SCOTUS WATCH — Justice CLARENCE THOMAS says in a new book that he had "no idea why or how" he got nominated to the Supreme Court in 1991, and that it's disappointing "that people tend to be more interested in their iPhones than their Constitution," per Insider's John Dorman, citing "Created Equal: Clarence Thomas in His Own Words," co-edited by Michael Pack and Mark Paoletta.

JUST POSTED — "The remaining Supreme Court cases this term," by CNN's Ariane de Vogue

JAN. 6 AND ITS AFTERMATH

KNOWING JOHN EASTMAN — How did the establishment GOP lawyer and MICHAEL LUTTIG friend morph into the man who tried to overturn a democratic election? The L.A. Times' Melanie Mason has a big profile culled from many people who know Eastman, in which she describes him as "a man with an insider's connections and an outsider's boundary-pushing instincts; a man who poured his considerable intellect into a political philosophy that, in increasingly dire terms, sees a country drifting from its core values." And some of the Southern California institutions of his career have turned against him, transforming his life.

JOHN YOO, former deputy attorney general in the GEORGE W. BUSH administration, on Eastman: "Unfortunately, he drank the Kool-Aid that President Trump was selling — that the election was a fraud."

 

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THE ECONOMY

REALITY CHECK — Fed Chair JEROME POWELL's bid to cool inflation down to roughly 2% depends on good fortune in struggling supply chains — and if that doesn't happen, more damaging policy moves (read: more unemployment) await, report Bloomberg's Craig Torres and Matthew Boesler.

DIANE SWONK, chief economist at Grant Thornton LLP: "This is a fascinating and terrifying situation."

BEYOND THE BELTWAY

DEMOCRACY WATCH — Will Republican primary voters nominate another conspiracy theorist to oversee a state's election administration? NYT's Nick Corasaniti and Alexandra Berzon have the wild story of TINA PETERS, the Colorado secretary of state contender who's on the ballot Tuesday even as she's been charged with a suite of felonies for allegedly breaching voting machines. She's a former flight attendant and "a once-ordinary public servant consumed by conspiracy theories and catapulted to minor stardom by believers." Now her shenanigans have become a national lodestar for election deniers, and a super PAC attacking her opponent just landed a big donation from PATRICK BYRNE and MICHAEL FLYNN's The America Project.

THE NEW GOP — Florida's conservatives are turning their focus — and their funds — to local school board races throughout the state, rolling out unusual endorsements from Gov. RON DESANTIS for candidates who align with his policies and trying to drive parental energy, Andrew Atterbury reports from Tallahassee. It's a big change for what have been "traditionally nonpartisan, sleepy down-ballot races," as already-dominant Republicans seek to control more levers of power in the state.

THE WHITE HOUSE

WHERE'S THE BEEF? — Almost two months after Congress passed $5 billion in emergency food aid to stave off hunger crises around the world, the Biden administration hasn't started to disburse the funds, Meredith Lee reports. The delay has angered the Hill, where lawmakers can't get much of an explanation, and made Republicans less willing to back more global aid.

AMERICA AND THE WORLD

HOT ON THE RIGHT — The New Yorker's Andrew Marantz managed to get into the Conservative Political Action Conference in Budapest, from which he reports on the ways that Hungarian strongman VIKTOR ORBÁN is serving as a model for some American conservatives. "There are many things that the Americans here want to learn from the Hungarians," top adviser BALÁZS ORBÁN tells him. "We're going to keep our heritage for ourselves, our Christian heritage, our ethnic heritage … that's what I think they want to say but they can't say, and so they point to someone who can say it. If they want us to play that role, we are fine with that."

LIKE A G-7 — At the G-7 summit Sunday, global leaders launched a major climate infrastructure initiative intended to counter China's Belt and Road Initiative. The $600 billion effort will try to deepen the countries' connections around the world in places where Chinese investment has made major inroads, including $200 billion from the U.S. More from Deutsche Welle

— JUST POSTED: "G-7 set to back pursuing Russian oil price cap, tariff hikes," by AP's Zeke Miller And Geir Moulson

IRAN LATEST — Iran said Sunday that it had blasted a rocket into space, per the AP , drawing condemnation from the U.S. against a backdrop of stalemated talks to revive a nuclear deal.

 

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PLAYBOOKERS

Michael Bennet sported a Colorado Avs jersey in honor of their Stanley Cup win.

Jill Biden (among other spouses of G-7 leaders) sported trekking poles while walking through the Bavarian wilderness.

Brian Kilmeade told Howard Kurtz that Donald Trump was "unhinged" after the 2020 election.

Cory Booker gabbed with Willie Brown at the annual Pride breakfast hosted by San Francisco's famed Alice B. Toklas LGBTQ Democratic Club.

FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Former A.G. Bill Barr is now a distinguished fellow at the Hudson Institute. He'll continue to be engaged in legal work and consulting.

TRANSITIONS — Alex Kisling will be VP of comms at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He previously was director of strategic comms at the Atlantic Council. … Madeline Sarver is now an account director in crisis and issues management at WE Communications. She previously was director of public affairs at Locust Street Group.

MEDIA MOVES — Katherine Landergan is joining The Atlanta Journal-Constitution to cover the safety net. She previously was New Jersey bureau chief at POLITICO. … Catherine Matacic is joining HHMI/Tangled Bank Studios as a science editor. She previously was an online editor for Science magazine.

ENGAGED — Eugene Greggo, a consultant at Accenture Federal Services, proposed to Demri Scott, a legislative assistant for Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), on Saturday in Navy Yard, surrounded by close friends. The two met in the summer of 2020. Pic Another pic

WEEKEND WEDDING — Alex Garcia, VP at Republican digital firm Push Digital, and Alyssa Specht, national election integrity counsel at the RNC, got married Saturday in Santa Fe, N.M. They met on the Trump campaign in Florida, while Alex was a regional political director at the RNC and Alyssa worked in Election Day operations for the campaign. PicAnother pic

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Reps. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.), David Scott (D-Ga.) and Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) … Tom SteyerJennifer DeCasper of Sen. Tim Scott's (R-S.C.) office … Ilya Shapiro Hunter MorgenJesse LehrichTerry Nelson of FP1 Strategies … Bob and Louis BoorstinJosh Rubin … Reuters' David Shepardson … POLITICO's Eleanor Mueller, Justin Yu, Krista Mahr and Liz ThompsonDavid Wochner of K&L Gates … Isaac Reyes of Target … Kathleen WelchSarah Bovim … Clyde Group's Geoff Vetter … American Bridge PAC's Jessica FloydRobert SchlesingerJim Nussle … NYT's Lisa Friedman … CNN's Carrie Stevenson Matt Letourneau … former Reps. Scott Taylor (R-Va.), Mike Honda (D-Calif.) and Jeff Miller (R-Fla.) … former Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) … former USTR Ron Kirk … former Interior Secretary Bruce Babbitt Tony Fratto … Amazon's Dan Hoffmann (3-0) … Charles Bronfman (91) … Andrea Flores Brian Martinez of the American Conservation Coalition … Caroline Adler Morales

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