How to Own a Stock That Rises Several-Fold

Edward Lance Lorilla
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How to Own a Stock That Rises Several-Fold

Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Alexander Green

I recently finished writing a book on the American Dream and how to achieve it.

(It's available for pre-sale on Amazon here.)

While researching it, I read everything I could on the topic.

Some of it I agreed with. Much of it, I did not.

If I had to select a single worst volume on the subject, it would be Noam Chomsky's Requiem for the American Dream.

If you want to feel angry, depressed, and bitter about the terrible unfairness of the world - and how you are completely powerless to change that - you should read it at once.

Chomsky is living proof of George Orwell's famous claim that some things are so stupid only intellectuals could believe them.

Even some fairly good books on the subject - like Mark Matson's Experiencing the American Dream - seem to go off the rails at some point.

For instance, near the end of his book, Matson writes...

You must admit that when left to your own devices, you are spiritually, emotionally, and intellectually incapable of managing your own money. There is too much noise and too much temptation to successfully manage a prudently diversified portfolio over a long period of time.

Wow. That's quite a claim.

And it runs completely counter to my advice in The Gone Fishin' Portfolio: Get Wise, Get Wealthy... and Get On With Your Life.

My premise is that you can invest in a portfolio of 10 index funds - representing 10 different asset classes - and take just a few minutes each year to rebalance them.

That's it. That's the whole system.

(The rest of the time you are encouraged to "go fishin'"... or do whatever else you prefer.)

If you invest in the portfolio through the Vanguard Group, you will pay no commissions, no sales charges, no 12b-1 fees, and no management fees.

The entire return - except for a microscopic expense ratio two digits to the right of the decimal point - is yours to keep.

And $100,000 invested in this conservative portfolio at inception is worth over $600,000 today.

No muss. No fuss. And no investment advisor.

I'm not against advisors in every case. Some people are too busy, too inexperienced, or too emotional to successfully manage their money themselves.

For these folks, a low-cost financial advisor with integrity is advisable.

However, I couldn't have had the investment success I've had using a high-priced, white-glove advisor.

Here's what I mean...

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There are three ways I built my net worth in the stock market over the past 40 years: indexing, trading, and buying-and-holding.

The three strategies are not mutually exclusive. However, a high-priced advisor generally sinks them all.

For starters, they frown on index funds as "too vanilla."

Not because they underperform - history shows that not one out of 10 active managers can beat their unmanaged benchmark over a decade or more - but because they don't offer advisors an opportunity to justify their fees.

That's why they put their clients in actively managed funds.

(And when the poor performance becomes too great to ignore, they justify their fees again by moving you into something else.)

Trading stocks regularly through full-commission brokers is also destined to fail.

Even if they take only a half a percent per trade - and most charge a lot more - over a year of active trading they will eat up most (if not all) of your return.

Of course, most advisors are fee-based now. But even that has pitfalls.

For example, I've bought and held several stocks, not just for years but decades.

The most successful of these have been Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX).

Both are worth more than 1,000 times what I paid for them.

If I had bought them on the recommendation of a commission-based broker, they'd have been incentivized to recommend selling them, especially after they doubled or tripled.

(Which means I would have missed out on the next 100,000% or so of upside.)

Yet it also wouldn't have worked out well for me if I'd continued to hold them in a fee-based account.

For example, even if the advisor charged a fee as low as 0.5% annually, I would have had to pay $10,000 a year to hold these two stocks once they reached a value of a million dollars each.

Paying $10,000 a year to sit on the same stocks year after year makes no sense. Advisors - who are not stupid - know this, of course.

They would recommend that I sell them - at once or in pieces - to (again) justify their fees.

That's why virtually no one with one of these accounts has a stock that is up several-fold.

Getting out and losing all the future appreciation is detrimental to the shareholder.

But it's a benefit to the account manager, who at least looks like he's earning his fees.

In short, Matson is wrong.

Most people are fully capable - spiritually, emotionally, and intellectually - of managing a diversified portfolio.

Sure, there is a risk that you could do something regrettable along the way.

But at least you're not incentivized to do it.

Good investing,

Alex

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