Wednesday, September 18, 2024

♟ Silver's Golden Moment

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"Gold's stealing headlines, but silver's the real jackpot. This 84:1 ratio isn't just a number - it's your ticket to potentially massive gains."

Karim Rahemtulla, Head Fundamental Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Karim Rahemtulla

If you've been following my calls in The War Room or Catalyst Cashouts, you know we've been riding the precious metals wave.

And now that we're entering a rate-cutting cycle, we can typically expect a weaker dollar, making dollar-denominated metals more attractive.

But that's not the only thing that makes metals attractive right here.

There's growing economic uncertainty, the potential for inflation to creep back up, and geopolitical tensions escalating almost everywhere, which should drive up demand for safe-haven investments.

Where does the greatest opportunity lie, is it gold or silver right now?

The answer can be explained in one simple chart.

Gold-Silver Ratio
 

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The Gold-Silver Ratio Explained

The gold-silver ratio shows how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold.

Currently the price of an ounce of gold is approximately $2,585 and the price of an ounce of silver is $30.68.

Which means the ratio is about 84:1. It was much higher, but silver has gained over 8% the last week to gold's 2%.

But here is where it gets interesting and I believe an opportunity arises.

Historically, this ratio has averaged between 40:1 to 50:1.

Now, let's add some historical context:

Ancient times: The ratio was often set by decree. In Roman times, it was fixed at 12:1.

During the U.S. Bimetallism Era (1792-1873): The ratio was legally set at 15:1, later adjusted to 16:1.

  • The Great Depression (1929-1939): The ratio spiked, reaching as high as 98:1 in 1940.

The 1970s

  • Early 1970s: The ratio hovered around 20:1-30:1.
  • 1979-1980: It plummeted to nearly 16:1 during the Hunt brothers' attempt to corner the silver market.

The 1980s

  • Early 1980s recession: The ratio climbed rapidly, reaching about 70:1 by 1983.
  • 1986-1987: It briefly touched 80:1 before the stock market crash of 1987.

The 1990s

  • 1991 recession: It spiked to an all-time high of 100:1.
  • Late 1990s: The ratio generally stayed between 40:1 and 60:1.

The 2000s

  • Dot-com bubble burst (2000-2002): The ratio initially spiked but then declined as both metals rallied.
  • 2008 Financial Crisis: It initially jumped to about 80:1 but then fell sharply as silver outperformed during the recovery.

The 2010s

  • 2011: The ratio hit a low of about 31:1 as silver approached $50/oz.
  • 2015-2019: It generally ranged between 70:1 and 85:1.
  • Recent events: COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The ratio skyrocketed to a record high of about 123:1 in March 2020 during the market panic.

The Gap Between Silver and Gold

As we can see from the historical context, the gap between silver and gold prices is approaching all-time highs. This presents a unique opportunity that we shouldn't ignore. Here's why:

  1. Silver's Dual Nature: Unlike gold, silver is not just a precious metal. It's also an industrial metal with wide-ranging applications in electronics, solar panels, and more. This dual nature often leads to interesting price dynamics.
  2. The "Poor Man's Gold" Effect: When gold prices soar, as they are now, attention often shifts to silver. It becomes the "poor man's gold," attracting investors who want exposure to precious metals but find gold too expensive.
  3. Room for Growth: While gold is hitting new all-time highs, silver surged 8% just last week. Yet, it's still significantly below its all-time highs. This disparity screams opportunity to those of us who've been in this game long enough.
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YOUR ACTION PLAN

Sure, you could dive into silver through traditional routes - physical bullion, futures contracts, or ETFs.

But in The War Room, we play a different game.

Our approach?

It's all about strategic precision. We're not just chasing the upside (though that's certainly part of the thrill).

We're crafting positions that tilt the odds in our favor and keep risk on a tight leash.

Think of it as silver investing with a tactical edge.

That's why we're using an options strategy designed to capitalize on silver's potential surge while keeping our downside exposure in check.

Ready to see how we're playing it?

Click here to join us in The War Room to unlock our silver strategy.

Don't just watch from the sidelines – become part of a community that's actively capitalizing on these opportunities.

Click here to access The War Room now and start turning market insights into actionable trades.


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