| | | | |  | | By Madison Fernandez | | Presented by |  | | | | | Republicans running in competitive House districts are trying to counter Democratic attacks over in-vitro fertilization, as Democrats continue their relentless advertising campaign on reproductive rights. Winning for Women, an outside group that supports conservative women, is launching a close to half a million dollar issue ad campaign focused on IVF, details of which were first shared with Score. The investment includes mail, texting and phone outreach in the battleground districts of CA-45 and OR-05 — held by Republican Reps. Michelle Steel and Lori Chavez-DeRemer , respectively — pointing to legislation they’ve spearheaded supporting the fertility treatment.
|  In her reelection campaign, Republican Rep. Michelle Steel has discussed her experience with and support of IVF. | Alex Brandon/AP Photo | IVF was catapulted into the national spotlight earlier this year after the Alabama Supreme Court ruled that frozen embryos can be considered children under state law, imperling access in the state until the state legislature stepped in. Democrats were quick to attack their Republican opponents on the issue, working IVF into the broader messaging they’ve been hammering the GOP on in the aftermath of Roe v. Wade being overturned. WFW says that it’s the “first time a right-of-center organization has run a major issue advocacy campaign in support of IVF this cycle.” Danielle Barrow, executive director of the group, told Score in a statement that they “looked at the persuasive universes in each district and are targeting constituencies that modeling shows are likely to care most about IVF.” “We are also continuing to look for other opportunities to counter false narratives from the Left and highlight what is actually being done to protect these important treatments,” Barrow added. The WFW mailer in Steel’s district says she “is leading the charge to protect access to IVF,” referencing H. Res. 1037, a “sense of Congress” resolution that she co-sponsored that affirms that the House “strongly supports the access to and use of IVF treatments across the United States; remains committed to commonsense policies that enable families to grow and thrive; and recognizes the fundamental truth that life is precious.” No Democrats have signed onto the legislation. Similarly, the ads in OR-05 acknowledge that “building a family … feels out of reach” for some, and Chavez-DeRemer is “making IVF more affordable and accessible.” The campaign highlights her introduction of H.R. 8821, which would “ensure coverage for the treatment of infertility for certain conditions.” That legislation has bipartisan support, but is also stuck in committee. IVF still isn’t getting much attention in television ads, especially compared to abortion messaging. Since the beginning of the month, there were just a handful of ads in down-ballot campaigns that mentioned IVF — from both Democrats and Republicans. It’s not surprising that Democrats, who have reaped the benefits of messaging on reproductive rights, are running these ads. But the fact that swing-district Republicans are allocating at least some money to communicate about IVF — and in some cases, dedicating entire ads to it — indicates that it’s an increasingly salient topic. In Steel’s opening ad of the cycle released last week, she spoke about her experience undergoing IVF to have her children. “I have always supported women’s access to IVF, and will fight to defend it,” Steel says. “For some, protecting women is a campaign issue. For me, there’s nothing more important.” In NY-17, Republican Rep. Mike Lawler says in a TV ad that he’s “fighting so hard to protect access to IVF treatments” because of the difficulty he and his wife had starting their family, and adds that he “will never support a national abortion ban.” And in NY-19, Republican Rep. Marc Molinaro outlines his support for access to reproductive care, including being “the first Republican to back federal protection for IVF.” Chavez-DeRemer also emphasizes her sponsorship of the pro-IVF bill, though the spot isn’t entirely about reproductive rights. Happy Monday. Reach me at mfernandez@politico.com and @madfernandez616. Days until the Delaware, New Hampshire and Rhode Island primaries: 1 Days until the 2024 election: 57
| | | | A message from PREMION Political: New 2024 Report! Streaming TV and the Political Market. When it comes to ad spending, CTV has ushered in a new media reality in the political space. Premion’s new report with Campaigns & Elections unpacks key findings from our latest political survey. Click to download the report now. | | | | | TRUMP TRIALS — Former President Donald Trump’s sentencing for his criminal conviction in his Manhattan hush money case is delayed until after Election Day, “handing the former president a significant victory that will leave voters in the dark about his possible punishment, including a potential prison sentence, as they head to the polls,” POLITICO’s Erica Orden writes. The scheduling is now set for Nov. 26. ENDORSEMENT CORNER — Former Republican Vice President Dick Cheney endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, saying that Trump “can never be trusted with power again.” He joins his daughter, former Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.), in endorsing Harris. (Further down the ballot, the younger Cheney endorsed Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) in his race for Senate.) SPOILER ALERT — Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. can be removed from the ballot in Michigan, the state’s Court of Appeals ruled — a decision that’s likely to be decided by the state Supreme Court after the secretary of state sought an emergency pause. Over in North Carolina, the state’s Court of Appeals blocked absentee ballots from being sent out last week because of Kennedy’s lawsuit to get off of the ballot. “The state board has directed county boards of elections not to send out any ballots and hold them until further notice,” The News & Observer’s Kyle Ingram writes, noting that “it could take around two weeks to reprint ballots.” The state elections board appealed to the state Supreme Court. If Kennedy makes it off the ballot in these battlegrounds, it’s expected to be a boon for Trump. … RELATED: “The Nevada Supreme Court has ruled that the Green Party is ineligible to appear on the state’s presidential ballot after its petition failed to include the required language for minor parties to qualify for the ballot,” The Nevada Independent’s Eric Neugeboren writes “The decision reverses a lower court’s ruling that allowed the Green Party to qualify for the Nevada ballot for the first time since 2008. It is also a victory for state Democrats and ensures that only Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver will appear as a third-party candidate on Nevada’s presidential ballot.” Want to receive this newsletter every weekday? Subscribe to POLITICO Pro. You’ll also receive daily policy news and other intelligence you need to act on the day’s biggest stories.
| | THREE'S A CROWD — Three Libertarians running for Congress in Iowa — including two in battleground districts, IA-01 and IA-03 — cannot appear on the ballot this fall, a judge ruled after Republicans raised issue with their candidacies. “The Libertarian Party plans to appeal the decision to the Iowa Supreme Court, which will need to act quickly to resolve the case in time for ballots to be printed later this month,” the Des Moines Register’s Stephen Gruber-Miller writes. Republican Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Zach Nunn are expected to be in competitive races this fall. In the midterms, they did not have third-party candidates on the general election ballot. Miller-Meeks won her race by around 7 points, and Nunn won his by less than 1 point. BALLOT BATTLE — Missouri’s initiative that would codify a right to abortion and other reproductive rights “did not comply with state initiative petition requirements, leaving the door open to potentially withhold it from the November ballot,” the Missouri Independent’s Anna Spoerre writes. Organizers of the initiative said they’re planning to appeal the judge’s ruling. The deadline for ballots to be printed is Tuesday. … Utahns are also fighting over a ballot initiative that would allow state lawmakers to change ballot measures after voters have approved them. “Lawyers representing the League of Women Voters, Mormon Women for Ethical Government and several Utah citizens said that ballot language — written by House Speaker Mike Schultz and Senate President Stuart Adams — is so misleading that it violates Utah voters’ constitutional right to fair elections and a free government,” The Salt Lake Tribune’s Robert Gehrke writes. “They are asking a 3rd District Court judge to disqualify the constitutional amendment from the November ballot or, if it is too late to remove it, not count any of the votes for or against the amendment.”
| | TALES FROM THE CRYPTO — The crypto industry’s left and right flanks are at odds “over how to influence who will be president and control Congress next year,” POLITICO’s Eleanor Mueller writes. “Democratic crypto lobbyists, executives and investors say the industry is at risk of leaning too far right as its leaders come out in force for [Trump]. … Their Republican counterparts say engaging with [Harris] and backing her party’s down-ballot candidates risks isolating long-time allies in the GOP, with little to no guarantee it will pay off. … GOP lawmakers, including NRSC Chair Steve Daines of Montana, expressed frustration to crypto executives when Fairshake decided to back Democratic Reps. Ruben Gallego of Arizona and Elissa Slotkin of Michigan for Senate races in their battleground states.”
| | PRESIDENTIAL — NATIONAL — Trump has 48 percent and Harris has 47 percent in a poll from The New York Times/Siena College (1,695 likely voters, Sept. 3-6, MoE +/- 2.8 percentage points). … MICHIGAN — Harris earns 50 percent and Trump has 49 percent in a CBS News/YouGov survey (1,077 likely voters, Sept. 3-6, MoE +/- 3.7 percentage points). … PENNSYLVANIA — Harris and Trump are tied at 50 percent in the CBS poll (1,085 likely voters, Sept. 3-6, MoE +/- 3.5 percentage points). … WISCONSIN — Harris is at 51 percent to Trump’s 49 percent, per the CBS poll (946 likely voters, Sept. 3-6, MoE +/- 4.0 percentage points). TX-Sen — Republican Sen. Ted Cruz leads in his race, with 44 percent to Allred’s 36 percent in a University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll (1,200 registered voters, Aug. 23-31, MoE +/- 2.83 percentage points).
| | | | A message from PREMION Political:   | | | | | ROUNDUP TIME — Check out the latest batch of ads here. And here are a select few: MD-Sen — DSCC and Democratic Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are running a coordinated spot warning that if former Republican Gov. Larry Hogan wins, Republicans — like Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and Sens. Lindsay Graham (S.C.) and Cruz— can “set the agenda.” NH-Gov — Former Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte says “lying about abortion to scare women” is “exactly what’s wrong with politics” and reiterates that she will not change New Hampshire’s abortion law. … Democratic Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington features a clip of her debating with Republican Gov. Chris Sununu over abortion. MT-01 — Democrat Monica Tranel says that Biden “is not doing enough to fix” the border and Republican Rep. Ryan Zinke “is just playing politics.” CODA — QUOTE OF THE DAY: “As a Latina, I will not give up my gas stove because you can not toast a tortilla on an electric range.” — Former California Senate Majority Leader Gloria Romero, who switched her affiliation from Democratic to Republican.
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