Wednesday, January 17, 2024

✅This Group of Investors May Push Stock Higher

Good morning. After being overall sellers in the past month, hedge funds are finally starting to...
It's the monthly jobs numbers today and they're not going to be pretty and will be possibly the tip of the iceberg as we head into May.

Good morning. After being overall sellers in the past month, hedge funds are finally starting to become net buyers of stocks. If the trend holds, it's a sign that markets may start to trend higher, or at least many individual names will, in the weeks ahead.

That's because in the short-term, buying demand for shares pushes up prices. A company's fundamentals take longer to play out. And when institutional investors like hedge funds are net sellers, it's tough for markets to head higher unless there's more demand elsewhere – like the individual investor demand that's helped push stocks higher in recent months.

Traders may want to start looking more selectively at downside trades, and investors may want to pick up some shares of underperforming companies in the days ahead as this trend starts to play out.

Now here's the rest of the news:

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MARKETS
DOW 37,361.12 -0.62%
S&P 4,765.98 -0.37%
NASDAQ 14,944.35 -0.19%
*As of market close
Markets closed lower on Tuesday, as big bank earnings continued to come in.
Oil dropped 1.2 percent, closing at $71.83 per barrel.
Gold slid 1 percent, ending trading at $2,032 per ounce.
Cryptocurrencies traded higher, with bitcoin at $43,316 at the stock market close.

Today's TOP TIPS
Oversold Large-Cap Plays that Haven't Run Yet Can Be Market Winners Next
The market has been in rotation mode for a few weeks now. High-flying tech stocks have been underperforming as other sectors have been beating the market instead.

If that trend continues, then many sectors that lagged in last year's rebounding stock market could trend higher. That means a number of companies in traditionally slower-moving parts of the market could have above-average returns in the months ahead.

» FULL STORY

Insider Activity Report: Aehr Test Systems (AEHR)
Avijit Ray-Chaudhuri, an EVP at Aehr Test Systems (AEHR), recently bought 3,000 shares. The buy increased his stake by 45 percent, and came to a total cost of $53,600.

This marks the first insider activity of the year. It's the first insider buy since October, when a company director bought 700 shares. Otherwise, company insiders have been steady sellers of shares over the past year. Only a small fraction of the sales came from the exercise of stock options.

» FULL STORY

Unusual Option Activity: Bank of America (BAC)
Wall Street megabank Bank of America (BAC) recently reported earnings. The market didn't care too much for them, and one trader is now betting that shares will trend lower in the coming weeks.

That's based on the February 9 $31 puts. With 22 days until expiration, 11,249 contracts traded compared to a prior open interest of 178, for a 63-fold rise in volume on the trade. The buyer of the puts paid $0.18 to make the bearish bet.

» FULL STORY

IN OTHER NEWS
Winter Storm Disrupts Holiday Travel

Severe winter weather struck much of the United States over the holiday weekend, resulting in delayed and cancelled flights. On Monday alone, over 2,100 flights were cancelled and there were over 20,000 delayed flights worldwide. The disruption is hitting the airline companies hard, and right after many carriers had to ground their 737 Max 9 planes.
IMF Warns AI May Disrupt 40 Percent of Jobs

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that nearly 40 percent of global jobs could be at risk from the rise of AI technologies in the next few years. The trend will also likely deepen global inequality, as developed nations roll out the technology before developing nations.
Germany Avoids Recession, But Economy Still Stagnant

The German economy saw a 0.3 percent drop in GDP in the fourth quarter of 2023. The country managed to avoid a second consecutive quarter of negative growth however, and has avoided a recession for now. The country likely faces slow growth ahead at best, as indicated by a 2 percent drop in manufacturing during the final quarter of the year.
Key Mall Retailers Shifting to Strip Malls

A number of well-known companies that have usually made their home at a mall are shifting to strip centers and other shopping outlets. That includes Foot Locker (FL) and Bath & Body Works. More than half of the latter's store locations are now outside enclosed shopping centers.
FedEx Creates Content Platform for Merchants

Shipping and logistics company FedEx (FDX) is creating own commerce platform. Dubbed FDX, it will offer users services such as demand generation, fulfillment, and tracking among others. The company plans for a wide launch of the service in late 2024. The service would be in direct competition to Amazon's (AMZN) Fulfilled by Amazon (FBA).

S&P 500 MOVERS
TOP
AMD 7.946%
WDC 4.03%
AZO 3.767%
ORLY 3.748%
CDNS 3.177%
BOTTOM
BA 7.956%
FSLR 6.856%
JCI 6.789%
ANSS 1.939%
GNRC 1.775%

Quote of the Day
It's a little bit of reversal of some of the strong trends and rallies from Q4, but I think markets are in wait-and-see mode for inflation, but also what's going to happen with earnings season … the drivers of 2024, like any year, will be earnings growth and valuation expansion.
- Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones senior investment strategist, on why markets will likely see broader participation this year, but overall lower returns relative to 2023's bounce higher.

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