Plus: Camel in D.C. | Wednesday, December 07, 2022
| | | Presented By Instagram | | Axios Sneak Peek | By Hans Nichols and Alayna Treene · Dec 07, 2022 | Welcome back to Sneak. Smart Brevity™ count: 699 words ... 2.5 minutes. 🚨 Situational awareness: The Jan. 6 select committee plans to release its final report on Dec. 21, panel chair Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-Miss.) said today. | | | 1 big thing: Biden's urgent task | | | President Biden boards Air Force One last night in Glendale, Ariz. Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images | | After the victory lap from last night's Raphael Warnock Senate victory in Georgia, President Biden will focus on his most urgent political task, Hans Nichols reports. Why it matters: Biden needs to assemble a team that can replicate the Democrats' midterm success while fending off GOP congressional investigations that will look for the weakest members of the herd, starting in the Cabinet. Former COVID-19 czar Jeff Zients has been busy preparing options for a potential White House and Cabinet reorganization, but most decisions were on hold until Biden learned the results of Georgia. - Biden aides are hesitant to give Republicans any chance to litigate the administration's policies through messy confirmation battles, especially right after the election.
- They also don't want any potential Cabinet shakeup to be viewed through the prism of a midterm reset. If Cabinet officials leave, it may be later in the year.
The big picture: Biden still has some 40 embassies without an ambassador, including five from Group of 20 countries, according to the nonpartisan Partnership for Public Service. - Biden wants his State Department fully stocked to deal with an uncertain world, with the war in Ukraine continuing and the global economy flashing warning signs of a serious slowdown.
The intrigue: The Georgia win, coupled with falling gas prices and a summer of legislative success, make it more likely that Chief of Staff Ron Klain will depart, according to people familiar with the matter. - Klain hasn't made a final decision, and the president as well as outside allies want him to stay.
- But he has told colleagues that he is physically exhausted. He has lasted longer than nearly all of his predecessors in a job with punishing hours, according to Biden advisers.
Share this story. | | | | 2. Primary danger at the state level | Data: Ballotpedia; Chart: Axios Visuals. Note: Thirty-two races with incumbents are still uncalled for 2022. State legislative incumbents are now more likely to be unseated during primaries than in general elections, Axios' Stef Kight reports. - 229 incumbents — 4.7% of the total who filed for re-election — were ousted in the primary season this year, the highest percentage since 2010, according to Ballotpedia data.
Compare that to the general election: Just 3.5% of all incumbent state lawmakers on the ballot lost last month, the lowest percentage of incumbents defeated since at least 2010. - Defeated incumbents were pretty evenly split by party, with 75 Republicans and 86 Democrats losing re-election.
The bottom line: This trend is currently being driven by Republican incumbents, 6.2% of whom lost to primary challengers this year, compared to just 3.1% who lost in the general. - Idaho had 18 Republican state lawmakers lose to primary challengers this year — a higher share than any other state.
| | | | 3. Potential House flips on marriage equality | Several House Republicans who voted "no" on the House bill codifying federal recognition of same-sex and interracial marriage are considering voting "yes" tomorrow after Senate changes, Axios' Andrew Solender reports. - Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.) — who said in July he voted against the bill out of concern it would enable polygamous marriage, which senators took steps to address — told Axios he will "probably" vote for it.
- Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-S.D.) said he is still reviewing the Senate version, telling Axios, "It's a very different bill than it was over here."
- Rep. Michael McCaul (R-Texas) told Axios he is "looking at the bill" and that religious freedom is "the issue that everybody started getting hung up on." He said "federalizing" a state issue is another concern.
| | | | A message from Instagram | Explore 30+ Instagram tools helping teens have positive experiences | | | | Instagram's tools can help parents keep their teens safe on social media, help teens see less sensitive content and help them spend less time on our platform. Because teens' experiences on Instagram should be positive and supportive. Explore our tools and set them up today. | | | 4. White House warning on antisemitism | Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Second gentleman Doug Emhoff warned today of an "epidemic of hate," Axios' Erin Doherty reports. - "We're seeing a rapid rise in antisemitic rhetoric and acts," Emhoff said during a roundtable in the Indian Treaty Room at the Eisenhower Executive Building.
Photo: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Emhoff, who is Jewish, said people "are no longer saying the quiet parts out loud. They are literally screaming them." - "What's happening now, it's visceral, it's real and that's why this is so personal to me."
| | | | 🐪 5. 📸 1,000 words | Photo: Drew Angerer/Getty Images With the Capitol in the background, Blanca Belloso and Jessi Alvarez take a photo with Delilah the camel from a nearby live nativity scene near the Supreme Court. | | | | A message from Instagram | Instagram's daily time limits can help teens spend less time online | | | | Parents can help teens spend time online more intentionally with Instagram's daily time limits, which lets them say how long their teens can spend on the platform once supervision is set up. Set up daily time limits and explore 30+ tools that can help teens have a positive experience on Instagram. | | | Are you a fan of this email format? Your essential communications — to staff, clients and other stakeholders — can have the same style. Axios HQ, a powerful platform, will help you do it. | | | | Axios thanks our partners for supporting our newsletters. If you're interested in advertising, learn more here. Sponsorship has no influence on editorial content. Axios, 3100 Clarendon Blvd, Arlington VA 22201 | | You received this email because you signed up for newsletters from Axios. Change your preferences or unsubscribe here. | | Was this email forwarded to you? Sign up now to get Axios in your inbox. | | Follow Axios on social media: | | | |
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