Tuesday, February 8, 2022

This Number Tells Only Half the Story...

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Cirrus Logic
 

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It just broke into the Tesla and Samsung supply chains. And Apple reportedly is collaborating with the company on a $330 million facility to add the company's tech to the iPad and iPhone.

What is this special tech that the $10 stock developed? See it in action right here.

Smaller Companies Have Been Mauled by the Bear

Jody Chudley, Contributing Analyst, The Oxford Club

Jody Chudley

The Nasdaq has started the year with a bang!

Or should I say "bust"?

Only a furious rally over the last two days of the month saved the tech-heavy index from the single worst January in its entire history.

Instead, the Nasdaq dropped "only" 8.98% last month, making it the second-worst January on record.

The top spot still belongs to the 9.89% drop in January 2008 during the dark days of the financial crisis.

Nasdaq Composite
 

But that 8.98% decline doesn't tell half the story.

Things are much worse than they look on the surface...

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You see, the smaller companies in the Nasdaq have been absolutely destroyed.

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) recently reported that an incredible 2,648 out of 3,682 stocks in the index have entered bear market territory, defined as a decline of more than 20%.

More remarkable, nearly half of the stocks listed on the Nasdaq are down more than 50% from their 52-week highs.

Number of Nasdaq Stocks Down 50% or More From Their 52-Week High
 

As you can see in the chart above, there have only been a few other times over the last 20 or so years that we've seen this many stocks down 50% or more - during the dot-com crash, the financial crisis of 2007 to 2009 and the March 2020 COVID-19 crash.

All of those occasions were epically turbulent.

And we're not done yet...

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The Russell 2000 Index, the most widely quoted measure of the performance of small cap stocks, is also showing some incredible data.

The chart below shows a recent breakdown of the Russell 2000 Index's stocks.

As you can see, hundreds of stocks are trading down 30%, 40% and even more than 80% from their 52-week highs.

Drawdown of Russell 2000 Index Stocks Relative to 52-Week High
 

Most incredibly, there are more stocks in the index down 70% or more from their 52-week highs than there are stocks down less than 10%!

What is happening is the collapse in absurd stock valuations that I've been warning about for months now.

A perfect example of such a stock is Zoom Video Communications (Nasdaq: ZM).

I've been warning about Zoom's dangerous valuation for a long time.

Zoom is just one of the many Nasdaq stocks that are down more than 50% from their 52-week highs.

So what do we do now?

We try to take advantage of this big crash in small cap growth stocks.

Some fast-growing companies are now priced very reasonably, with plenty more to join them.

There's fear in this area of the market, and fear is the friend of the rational investor looking to buy stocks.

I've been scouring the market for ideas...

When you next hear from me, I'm going to point you to one group of stocks that I really think deserves your attention.

Good investing,

Jody

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