Friday, October 30, 2020

Americas Wrap


The major indices close lower but rebound into the close eases the pain

NASDAQ index leads the way to the downside The major indices are closing lower on the day but did rebounded into the close which eased some of the downside pain.... Read full article


ForexLive Americas FX news wrap: Dollar climbs on month-end flows

Forex news for North American trade on October 30, 2020: Markets: - Gold up $12 to $1879 - US 10-year yields up 5 bps to 0.87% - S&P 500 down 63 points to 3246 It was month-end and that added an extra wrinkle to an already-uncertain time. The result was a strong dollar bid into the London fix that was... Read full article


CFTC commitments of traders: EUR longs remain the major position in currencies

Forex futures positioning for the week ending October 27, 2020. - EUR long 156K vs 166K long last week. Longs trimmed by 10K - GBP short 7K vs 2K short last week. Shorts increased by 5K... Read full article


US 10-year yields rise to the highest since June

Treasury yields break the high US 10-year yields are now up 4.4 bps on the day to 0.8670%. It's highly unusual to see US stocks down 2-3% and Treasury yields higher.... Read full article


US daily virus cases hit 90,000 for the first time

Record high cases in the US I would argue that the biggest reason the market is where it is right now is the pandemic, not the election. The next few months are going to be rough.... Read full article

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Look for US dollar buying at the month-end fix

What to watch for at 1600 GMT

US dollar mask
The London fix is an hour later for North American traders this week week that usual because Europe has moved its clocks but North America doesn't until Sunday. That means it's at 1600 GMT (noon ET).

The final output of this month-end fixing model point to USD buying into today's fix, according to data from Citi, and Credit Agricole Research. 

"As of asset index closing values of 28 October, the estimate for this month-end's FX hedge rebalancing needs has flipped to a moderate USD buy from a sell-signal published in the preliminary estimate earlier this week. This could be clouding the picture for FX vs equities," Citi notes. 

"The moves in equity markets, when adjusted for market capitalisation and monthly FX performance, suggest that month-end portfolio-rebalancing flows are likely to be neutral-to-mild USD buying across the board with the strongest buy signal in the case of the USD vs JPY," CACIB notes.

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